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View Full Version : Deflation, Inflation or Stagfaltion?



aeondaze
26th March 2020, 12:01 AM
Just curious what you pundits think will happen, post you reasons or just reply to the poll \uu\

aeondaze
26th March 2020, 12:08 AM
We had a severe drought and tomatoe prices topped out at $9.90 / kg, they then normalised to around $2.90 / kg, we've had plenty of rainfall since but prices are back to $9.90 / kg. Inflation seems to be beginning at the supermarket, but house prices are set to decline overall, unless wages increase ratiometrically to the increase in money supply, I think there will be at least a 20% haircut to property prices but essential items like groceries will increase in price, therefore I voted for inflation. But this is a tricky situation we're heading into...

osoab
26th March 2020, 06:36 AM
Other

woodman
26th March 2020, 07:08 AM
I went with 'infaltion'; this novel word must be a description of early deflation and eventual hyper-inflation.

Amanda
26th March 2020, 07:16 AM
I've been hearing first deflation, then hyperinflation.

Ares
26th March 2020, 07:32 AM
Inflation, central banks will make sure of it.

monty
26th March 2020, 10:39 AM
I went with inflation.

Off topic: What I find troubling about this is how willing the American people are to sacrifice their liberties for a few sheckles.

mamboni
26th March 2020, 11:04 AM
Stagflationary depression.

Severe price inflation in food and necessities.
Stocks and real estate prices will gradually decline despite FED monetization
World demographics are deflationary
Dollar will remain strong until foreigners have cleared their dollar-denominated debts and assets
Foreign central banks will sell US treasury and dollar reserves and guy gold
When the 10y and 30y yeilds start to rise and rise with the gold price the collapse of the US dollar has begun

I can't predict timing. No one saw this COVID-19 thingy coming and no one saw the market crash coming. I am positioning for dollar collapse now. I'd rather be early than a minute late.

Neuro
27th March 2020, 06:58 AM
When they lift state of emergency in mid May at the same time as the stimulus hits the wallets, expect extreme inflation. Everyone would like to spend whatever they have in cash but there will be little to buy. For those who would like to earn a lot of money this summer buy a bar now as it is very cheap. People will want to party this summer with the extra cash infusion. Sell it in end of August for 5 times what you bought it for... :)

Jewboo
27th March 2020, 10:52 AM
Severe price inflation in food and necessities.



This, but with ongoing hoarding, scarcity is now a given.

BrewTech
27th March 2020, 01:59 PM
I went with inflation.

Off topic: What I find troubling about this is how willing the American people are to sacrifice their liberties for a few sheckles.


People are just getting to the "fuck it" point. When it comes to liberties, it's been Chinese water torture for a loooong time.

Cebu_4_2
27th March 2020, 06:47 PM
This, but with ongoing hoarding, scarcity is now a given.

Not allowed to raise prices in a crisis or pandemic. Shortage from the horders yes. Stagflation.

keehah
28th March 2020, 11:19 AM
money printer go brrrr (19sec)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xppJGtXKI_s

Neuro
28th March 2020, 04:17 PM
Not allowed to raise prices in a crisis or pandemic. Shortage from the horders yes. Stagflation.

Hoarders don’t create real shortages, they may raise the prices temporarily yes, but they only react to the real oncoming shortages from lack of production, which happens when everyone stays at home.