National Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community 2022 [Archive]

monty

21st April 2022, 08:58 AM

Because they really DO care about people!

https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2022-Unclassified-Report.pdf (https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/assessments/ATA-2022-Unclassified-Report.pdf)

But "muh science" Page 21

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENVIRONMENTALDEGRADATION
We assess that climate change will increasingly exacerbate risks to U.S. national security interests as the physicalimpacts increase and geopolitical tensions mount about how to respond to the challenge. Meanwhile, environmentaldegradation will increasingly intersect with and worsen climate change effects in many countries, particularly lowincome countries.
 Geopolitical tensions are likely to grow as countries increasingly argue about how to accelerate thereductions in net greenhouse gas emissions necessary to meet the Paris Agreement goal of limitingglobal temperature rise to 1.5˚C since pre-industrial times.
The current trajectory of growing globalgreenhouse emissions, based on governments’ current policies and pledges, would cause the globaltemperature rise to reach 1.5˚C around 2030, and surpass 2˚C by mid-century.
 Countries will debate who bears more responsibility to reduce emissions and who should pay—andcountries will compete to control resources and dominate new technologies needed for the clean energytransition. Most countries will face difficult economic choices and probably will count ontechnological breakthroughs to rapidly reduce their net emissions later. China and India will playcritical roles in determining the trajectory of temperature rise.
 The increasing physical effects of climate change are likely to exacerbate domestic and cross-bordergeopolitical flashpoints producing additional instability. The reduction in sea ice already is amplifyingstrategic competition in the Arctic over access to its natural resources and shipping routes. Elsewhere,as temperatures rise and more extreme effects manifest, there is a growing risk of conflict over waterand migration, particularly after 2030, and an increasing chance that countries will unilaterally test anddeploy large-scale solar geoengineering—creating a new area of disputes.
 Scientific forecasts indicate that intensifying physical effects of climate change out to 2040 and beyondwill be most acutely felt in low-income countries, which we assess are also the least able to adapt tosuch changes. These physical effects will increase the potential for instability and possibly internalconflict in some countries, in some cases creating additional demands on U.S. diplomatic, economic,humanitarian, and military resources. Despite geographic and financial resource advantages, theUnited States and its partners face costly challenges that will become more difficult to manage withoutconcerted effort to reduce emissions and cap warming.Unsustainable land use, poor water governance, and pollution will intersect with and worsen the effects ofclimate change, primarily but not exclusively in low-income countries in the near term. The combination ofenvironmental degradation, rising temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and other climate effects islikely to lead to an array of human challenges such as food and water insecurity and threats to human health.