MNeagle
23rd May 2010, 07:32 AM
How To Know Very Shortly Whether We're On The Path Of Japan
http://www.businessinsider.com/sp500-vs-nikkei-2010-5#ixzz0olMyrxad
Excellent... Doug Short (Dshort.com) has updated his excellent mega-bears chart to take into account last week's big drop in the stock market.
As you can see, from a timing perspective, it lines up fairly nicely with a major leg down in the Nikkei (when our peak is overlaid with theirs... he uses the peak of the .com bubble to show our one true peak).
So if we have a sharp rebound then our path doesn't look anything like theirs. On the other hand, if we keep falling, then there's a scary historical precedent about what could lie ahead.
http://static.businessinsider.com/image/4bf92d927f8b9a6028330700-599-432/chart.png
http://www.businessinsider.com/sp500-vs-nikkei-2010-5#ixzz0olMyrxad
Excellent... Doug Short (Dshort.com) has updated his excellent mega-bears chart to take into account last week's big drop in the stock market.
As you can see, from a timing perspective, it lines up fairly nicely with a major leg down in the Nikkei (when our peak is overlaid with theirs... he uses the peak of the .com bubble to show our one true peak).
So if we have a sharp rebound then our path doesn't look anything like theirs. On the other hand, if we keep falling, then there's a scary historical precedent about what could lie ahead.
http://static.businessinsider.com/image/4bf92d927f8b9a6028330700-599-432/chart.png