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View Full Version : China anounces will not dump treasuries or pile into gold...



Steal
7th July 2010, 05:50 AM
Well, doubt those with money, power and influence will be fooled & this will NOT be dollar positive. Just wondering what their game really is. They are the most liquid nation in the world. Think they are trying to influence gold down to buy more? Anyone else have a thought on this statement ...?


By Zhou Xin and Alan Wheatley

BEIJING | Wed Jul 7, 2010 5:26am EDT

BEIJING (Reuters) - China on Wednesday ruled out the "nuclear" option of dumping its vast holdings of U.S. Treasury securities but called on Washington to be a responsible guardian of the dollar.

In the third in a series of statements explaining its work to the Chinese public, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange sought to allay concerns in the outside world that arise whenever Beijing shifts its holdings of U.S. government debt.

"Any increase or decrease in our holdings of U.S. Treasuries is a normal investment operation," SAFE, the arm of the central bank that manages China's official currency reserves, said.

It said it constantly adjusts its portfolio to maximimize returns, and any changes to its U.S. Treasury portfolio should be seen in that light and not interpreted politically.

In a series of questions and answers posted on its website, www.safe.gov.cn, SAFE asked rhetorically whether China would use its $2.45 trillion stockpile of reserves, the world's largest, as a "nuclear weapon."

SAFE said such concerns were completely unwarranted.

"The U.S. Treasury market is the world's largest government bond market, and U.S. Treasury bonds deliver fair good security, liquidity and market depth with low transaction costs.

"The U.S. Treasury market is a very important market for China," the agency said.

China held $900.2 billion in U.S. Treasuries at the end of April, according to U.S. Treasury data released on June 15.

Bankers say China's total holdings of dollar-denominated assets are much greater, accounting for perhaps two-thirds of its reserves.

GOLD NOT THE ANSWER

SAFE also gave a qualified vote of confidence to the dollar.

The agency acknowledged that financial markets were very concerned at one point that massive U.S. government borrowing would drive the U.S. currency lower.

But it said economic conditions elsewhere were also a factor in determining the dollar's trend. The euro zone, for instance, was struggling with high government debt levels.

"We must recognize that any depreciation of the dollar is relative to other countries, and other countries or regions also have this or that problem," SAFE said.

One of the prime concerns of Chinese Internet commentators is that a long-term decline in the dollar or euro will erode the value of SAFE's portfolio.

To that end, SAFE called on the United States and other major countries to take "responsible measures" to maintain the value of their currencies. This meant withdrawing monetary stimulus in a reasonable manner and relying less on deficit spending.

SAFE was lukewarm about gold as an investment.

"It cannot become a main channel for investing our foreign exchange reserves," the agency said, noting the size of the gold market was limited and prices were volatile.

Buying more gold would also not help much in diversifying China's reserves.

China has increased its gold holdings by more than 400 tonnes in the past few years to 1,054 tonnes. Even if it doubled that amount gold's share of SAFE's portfolio would increase by only one or two percentage points.

SAFE is an easy target for domestic critics who question why China has amassed a mountain of reserves instead of investing more at home. The elucidations on its website appear primarily aimed at disarming those critics.

"SAFE will never be a speculator. It mainly seeks to protect the safety of China's FX reserves and ensure a stable investment return," it said.

The agency said it was a financial investor and did not seek management control when it made equity investments.

Answering its own question on whether it has bought into stocks, private equity funds or any other higher-risk instruments, SAFE said its never excludes any investment.

"It depends on whether a product meets SAFE's demand for safety, liquidity and a stable yield for its FX reserves, and whether it can help SAFE diversify risks," the agency said.


china say dollar good,bah (http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6660VC20100707)

DMac
7th July 2010, 09:39 AM
Watch what they do, not what they say.

China Concentrating on Gold (http://wallstreetpit.com/33701-china-concentrating-on-gold)


China Unloads Some U.S. Debt (http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=123860061&ft=1&f=1006)

China Becomes Japan's Second Largest Bond Holder (http://www.bullfax.com/?q=node-china-becomes-japans-second-largest-bond-holder)

gunDriller
7th July 2010, 10:17 AM
China anounces will not dump treasuries or pile into gold...

in a world where War is Peace and Right is Wrong ... I tend to believe the opposite of what China says.

the less China depends on exports to America, the less they have to be concerned about the value of the US $.

my impression is that they are "backing up the truck", but with discretion - timing their purchases of hard assets to keep from driving up the price, etc.

k-os
7th July 2010, 12:00 PM
Why do I get the feeling the Chinese are being less than honest about their intent to dump dollars? Might it be in their best interest to fool everyone into believing in the dollar? Yes.

gunDriller
7th July 2010, 01:08 PM
What would they gain by advertising this ? Why do they feel compelled to tell or warn us ?

My take:
Buy gold hand over fist, i mean like right now !

the Chinese Yuan is in the process of being re-valued about 40% relative to the US dollar. No secret, it's been announced. I think they're taking it gradually, but the result is the same - gold becomes that much cheaper for the Chinese.

I would say, "now they can buy gold with the Yuan and with their $ holdings", but my understanding is that the Chinese central bank absorbs a lot of Chinese gold production - and they are a major gold producer.

Skirnir
7th July 2010, 01:42 PM
China is employing one of the 36 Stratagems: trouble the water to catch the fish. Of course they will do one thing and say another, for all warfare is waged by deception. This is a way to confuse the markets since white people are predisposed to take things at face value.