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MNeagle
4th October 2010, 06:54 PM
http://l.yimg.com/a/p/fi/32/87/46.jpg
Elsa de Blaschke, of Colombia, looks at the view from The Blue condominium in Miami. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)


Michelle Conlin, AP Real Estate Writer, On Monday October 4, 2010, 5:46 pm EDT
The Viceroy, a swanky condominium complex in downtown Miami, gives the impression that the United States is in another real estate boom. The sales office is strangely exuberant. Buyers gush about the glam condos -- designed by hipster tastemaker Kelly Wearstler -- and their hotel-like amenities: poolside libations, daily housekeeping and room service food stirred up by a celebrity chef.

Since January, 262 of the Viceroy's 372 units have sold. But there's a twist: Almost 90 percent of the buyers are foreigners. And they all paid cash.

The Viceroy's story is playing out across Miami. Individual investors from as far as Argentina, Canada, Colombia, France, Israel, Italy, Norway and Venezuela are swarming the city's sales offices to get in on what they see as one of the greatest real estate fire sales in the history of the United States.

At one time, these people would have invested in the U.S. stock market. Now they see the opportunity of a lifetime in the nation's debilitated housing market. The idea is to rent out the properties and then sell them once the economy turns around.

The math is seductive: Prices at the Viceroy are roughly 52 percent off the 2007 peak. Units once sold for as much $670 a square foot. Today the average price is $319.

"I have never seen such a high concentration of foreign nationals acquiring real estate," says Peter Zalewski, who has been in real estate for 15 years and founded Condo Vultures, a consulting and brokerage firm. "Eighty percent of the sales in downtown Miami are foreign-based. This is unprecedented."

Miami is hardly the only hot spot for buyers from outside the United States. Real estate brokers say they've seen a surge in Washington, New York, Las Vegas, Los Angeles and San Francisco. In Seattle, Asians are buying property sight unseen, says Joe Brazen of Brazen Sotheby's International. In New York, 25 percent of buyers at the Armani-designed 20 Pine building, near the World Trade Center site, are from overseas.

"It's a positive in a sea of negatives," says Jonathan Miller, chief executive of Miller Samuel, a real estate consulting firm in New York.

This year in Phoenix, for the first time, there have been more buyers from Canada than from California, according to real estate data outfit Information Market. With the Canadian dollar approaching parity with its U.S. counterpart, the opportunity was simply irresistible to Jim Chuong, a 38-year-old Novartis sales manager from Toronto.

Chuong, whose house in Canada is already paid off, used to invest in U.S. stocks. Now he's investing in Phoenix condos, paying $50 a square foot for units that would cost $500 a square foot in Toronto.

"It's ridiculous is what it is," Chuong says.

For foreigners with cash, the deals can make them money from day one. Chuong buys two-bedroom condos for less than $40,000 in low-crime areas. He only picks up units that already have renters. After paying association fees and taxes, he walks away with $300 a month, pre-tax, on each. The deals are now easy to do, thanks to the cottage industry of companies that has grown up to manage virtually everything for foreign buyers, down to badgering renters for the monthly check.

For the international investor class, the United States' bloated inventory of homes, high unemployment and weak currency make for an unusually attractive buyer's market.

"Never before have all these things come together like this," says Patrick O'Neill, chief executive officer of the Hong Kong-based O'Neill Group, which helps Chinese invest in international real estate. O'Neill says Chinese buying in places like New York is on track to double this year.

"Unless you want to go to Baghdad," O'Neill says, "the United States is the best you can get."

The trend is showing up in the statistics. In a National Association of Realtors report released in July, 28 percent of brokers reported they had worked with at least one international client, up from 23 percent a year earlier. Among those, 18 percent had completed at least one sale, compared with 12 percent in the 2009 report.

"I was going invest in the stock market, but I decided to invest in real estate instead," says Diego Garcia, a Mexico City native on assignment in New York City with Pfizer Inc., where he is a regional finance director. Garcia paid $850,000 for a Manhattan one-bedroom in a gleaming new high-rise that he plans to live in for now. "I'm a conservative guy," Garcia says, "and this was more conservative."

That's not to say there aren't steep risks. An economic jolt could easily throw the whole plan into disarray. The housing market is far from a recovery. In many places, prices continue to fall. What happens if currency values reverse and a foreign owner needs a quick sale? Or a renter bolts in the middle of the night, leaving an empty unit and no cash flow?

It's not as if foreign buying can be counted on for a housing market turnaround. Overseas buyers represent a mere 7 percent or so of today's total. Yet in some cities, such as Miami and Washington, the foreign sales are helping to stabilize the markets.

In past downturns, buying a property in the U.S. was the prestigious purview of the wealthy, but today the market is within reach of the swelling ranks of the global upper-middle class.

Colombians, who often call Miami the most beautiful city in their country, have always been drawn to Florida. The difference now is the upside-down economics. It is cheaper to buy in Miami than in Bogota, and you can fly between the two cities for $59 each way.

"Muchos muchos muchos muchos opportunity," says Elsa de Blaschke, who owns a construction company with her husband in Barranquilla, Colombia, and is hunting for an investment property to buy in Miami. De Blaschke chose not to invest the capital at home because she says Florida offers a better chance of a bigger return.

"The international buyer pool is better than we have ever seen it before," says Phillip White, president of Sotheby's International, based in New York.

To match demand, U.S. brokerages are hiring agents who can speak foreign languages and are pouring more resources into marketing overseas.

In October, agents from 11 Sotheby's International branches will descend on Hong Kong's convention center to regale wealthy buyers there with slick visuals on showcase properties. In Toronto, agents from Florida Home Finders play to crowds of 800 every other Sunday at a Holiday Inn banquet hall. Jenny Huertas, Condo Vultures' international sales director, throws seminars for potential clients across South America.

"Their jaws drop. They can't believe it," Huertas says. "They think these deals are too good to be true."

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Foreign-buyers-see-big-apf-3875929397.html?x=0

PatColo
5th October 2010, 02:02 AM
"jaw dropping deals", but I wouldn't touch them... new generation of "international NWO neo-serfs" in the making here..





This is a change for the worse with the economy, a change for the better for society.


While rents haven't collapsed on the scale that real estate values have, I've always maintained that rents will eventually follow. With the inevitable "cohabitation explosion" as the middle-class is destroyed, people/families lose job/income, lose their homes, & become insolvent neo-serfs as NWO has meticulously engineered, this will keep vacancy rates high & rising, and push rents lower.

Picture streets/apartments alternating between 10 people in home A, no one in home B, 10 in home C, no one in home D, etc.

Many "investors" who fancy themselves shrewd but are in fact "properly misled sheeple", still ignorant about how total this collapse has been engineered to eventually be, who are still drinking the MSM kool-aid re "the recession ended > a year ago, real estate is just putting in a bumpy bottom, blue skies ahead yada yada", are excitedly buying rentals & foreclosures in hard hit markets, dreaming sweet dreams about how rich they're gonna be tomorrow. Hook, line, sinker.

They smartly look at the advertised ROI numbers, perhaps the rent-multiplier (purchase-price divided by [historic] annual rental income) is a robust 10:1, how sweet is that?

Except that *historic* rental income is going to collapse... vacancy times between tenants will be longer (provided owner insists on the *historic* rent rather than lowering/adapting...), and landlording will be hell when their occupied units suddenly have 10 people living in them rather than the 2 they rented to, and all of society's mushrooming social/economic problems become the owner's problems. Then, varying by jurisdiction, when the falling economic dominos hit the tenant's job, they go insolvent & stop paying but don't vacate with nowhere else to go, it can take months to get them evicted. Owner eats the loss, can't get water from a NWO-neo-serf stone. Squatters can & will break into their vacancies and take up residence, and that's owner's problem to deal with again.

So today's "bargain real estate prices" with their newly "sweet, *historic-based* rental property ROI numbers" are going to collapse with rents/economy, as the rent decline curve is merely trailing the real estate decline curve. Investors blowing their wad buying rentals today, frustrated in 1-3 years with what a train wreck their once shrewd investment has materialized into, decide to throw in the towel & sell... only to find even their equity is gone, as prices have dropped another 50+% from today's 'rock bottom prices'. Many of today's "shrewd real estate investors" with some capital burning a hole in their pocket, and "properly misled" by the NWO media propaganda apparatus as to what's really going on, are going to take today's sucker bait, get caught in that trap and be rendered NWO-neo-serfs.

The ratio of "renters" to the population is surely swelling as former home-borrowers go bust, but it's paradoxically not going to translate into super-low vacancy rates & rising rents... just the opposite, as cohabitation mushrooms. Do we need to enter into the equation the imminent population decline/die-off, as both life expectancies and birth rates crater? Re the old real estate slogan, "they keep making more people, but they're not making any more land...", well, not so fast..


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KjgRwaMkXEA

Twisted Titan
5th October 2010, 06:23 AM
Since January, 262 of the Viceroy's 372 units have sold. But there's a twist: Almost 90 percent of the buyers are foreigners. And they all paid cash.


They are fools of the first order.

The are under the gross assumption that things will remain as they are.

What good is their half price condo going to be worth when they have no Town services and you need a black ops police force to keep the goons out???

Did they ever think about that??

Of course not........ they just bought the sales pitch.


T

EE_
5th October 2010, 06:44 AM
Since January, 262 of the Viceroy's 372 units have sold. But there's a twist: Almost 90 percent of the buyers are foreigners. And they all paid cash.


They are fools of the first order.

The are under the gross assumption that things will remain as they are.

What good is their half price condo going to be worth when they have no Town services and you need a black ops police force to keep the goons out???

Did they ever think about that??

Of course not........ they just bought the sales pitch.


T

And big HOA fees to go with their depreciating asset.

JDRock
5th October 2010, 06:47 AM
...hahaa this will go about as well as the foreign fools that bougt in to all that debt before the bubbble poped.....they were buying these "loans" just to make their bottom line look good, and were left holding the bag while the sheenies at the top cashed out early....remember the treasury secretarys brother was shorting the housing mkt BEFORE it popped??

PatColo
5th October 2010, 10:21 AM
And big HOA fees to go with their depreciating asset.


I'd have to dig up past articles I've seen on this, but the HOA fees are among the first bills to stop getting paid when an owner runs into financial hardship, or just decides to strategic default. Of course the HOA puts a lien on the condo and the back-HOA fees presumably get paid upon change of ownership, but this can draw out for months or >year, and meanwhile the HOA's cashflow/reserves take a beating- and absent a line of credit (which we know has grown much tighter), their operating budgets find they can't fund all the expected upkeep/etc, and the place begins to visibly & functionally deteriorate. So the "collective HOA funds" which buyers felt assured would always keep the place nice, begin to collapse, and injury to insult: still-solvent owners are hit with emergency assessments to "keep their investment from going to seed". I know I read stories in the past about owners in this HOA situation arranging with each other to do certain upkeep work themselves, in spite of also paying their HOA, as it's in their own best interest to preserve their property values in light of cratering HOA funds. With the inevitable rise in crime, HOA's insurance expense will spike too, to hedge against the new higher risk levels.

Besides HOA liability for some, all property owners are still at the mercy of the taxman, and as the controlled demolition of state finances progresses, guess who states are going to go after? The dwindling, remaining "privileged" population who, in spite of the [engineered] real estate cataclysm, are still solvent & own some RE. The pitch will be, they have a moral duty to pay more, to preserve what's left of the civil society which gummit provides, yada yada.

Problem-Reaction-Solution, step by step, the eventual solution being the abolition of the institution of private property (http://gold-silver.us/forum/general-discussion/cbs-60-minutes-mortgages-walking-away/msg107453/#msg107453). It's going to be a few more years of extraordinary unpleasantness for owners between now and the PTB's "solution phase" of their roadmap... all made to look like an accident, and the "solution" will be sold as the natural correction to a system which "obviously didn't work".

EE_
5th October 2010, 10:49 AM
2011 article Angry foreign buyers go bust in big housing opportunity

ShortJohnSilver
5th October 2010, 01:39 PM
What good is their half price condo going to be worth when they have no Town services and you need a black ops police force to keep the goons out???

T[/b][/i]


They already know that they need that private police force, however ... unlike the 95% of Americans who still don't understand that.

mick silver
5th October 2010, 06:38 PM
when were giving all the country around the world ARE money why not come here and buy every thing ; is this not what our goverment wants a gobal world are a one world goverment

PatColo
5th October 2010, 06:56 PM
I'll post this here since the OP article focused on Miami... is it true that Miami's population swelled 25% in the past year??

Census snapshot of South Florida: Poverty up, wealth down (http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/09/29/1847467/census-snapshot-of-s-florida-poverty.html?source=patrick.net)

A distressed real estate market brings a population boom to Miami, but falling household wealth across the region.