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Ares
9th October 2010, 06:09 PM
Since too often financial articles consist of some stooge blathering on and on with opinions instead of facts, I thought today we’d simply focus on some FACTS about our current financial system which few if any want to acknowledge.

#1: The US Fed is now the second largest owner of US Treasuries.

That’s right, this week we overtook Japan, leaving China as the only country with greater ownership of US Debt. And we’re printing money to buy it. Setting aside the fact that this is abject lunacy, this policy is trashing our currency which has fallen 13% since June… as in four months ago. Want an explanation for why stocks, commodities, and Gold are exploding higher? Here it is.

<img src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user20289/imageroot/dollar%20dropping.gif"/>

#2: “There are only about $550 billion of Treasuries outstanding with a remaining maturity of greater than 10 years.”

This horrifying fact comes courtesy of Morgan Stanley analyst David Greenlaw. And it confirms what I’ve been saying since the end of 2009, that the US has entered a debt spiral: a time in which fewer and fewer investors are willing to lend to us for any long period of time… at the exact same time that we must roll over trillions in old debt and issue an additional $100-150 billion in NEW debt per month in order to finance our massive deficit.

And only $550 billion of the debt we’ve got to roll over has a maturity greater than 10 years!?!?

So we’re talking about TRILLIONS of old debt coming due in the next decade. The below chart depicting the debt coming due between 2009 and 2039 comes courtesy of the US Treasury itself. In plain terms, we’ve got some much debt that needs to be rolled over that you can’t even fit it on one page and still read it.

<img src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user20289/imageroot/maturing%20treasuries.jpg"/>

#3: The US will Default on its Debt

… either that or experience hyperinflation. There is simply no other option. We can NEVER pay off our debts. To do so would require every US family to pay $31,000 a year for 75 years.

Bear in mind, I’m completely ignoring the debt we took on with the nationalization of Fannie and Freddie, AIG, and the slew of other garbage we nationalized or shifted onto the Fed’s balance sheet. And yet we’re STILL talking about every US family making $31,000 in debt payments per year for 75 years to pay off our national debt.

Obviously that ain’t going to happen.

So default is in the cards. Either that or hyperinflation (which occurs when investors flee a currency). Either of these will be massively US Dollar negative and horrible for the quality of life in the US. But they’re our only options, so get ready.

Good Investing!

Graham Summers


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/three-horrifying-facts-about-us-debt-%E2%80%9Csituation%E2%80%9D

palani
9th October 2010, 06:19 PM
Government operates on budgets. When budgets get exceeded then they operate on deficits.

You might have 3-4 governments to support. If you live in the metro you support the city. Everyone lives in a county so it must be supported. Everyone lives in a state so it must be supported. Finally there is the federal government to support.

So it takes around 15 minutes to track down the budgets of all 3-4 entities. What you do is divide the metro budget by the number of people in the metro. Do the same for the county, state and federal governments (population of each growing with scale). Add up all these "per capita" budget costs and you will arrive at around $12,000 per person. That makes the government requirement just for the budgets (not county deficits) at around $50,000 annually for a family of four. I have no idea what the "average" family of four lives on but I would be willing to bet it is quite a bit less than $50,000 per year (possibly half this amount?).

With this concept in mind understand that THERE IS NO ECONOMY IN THE U.S. THAT DOES NOT BELONG TO GOVERNMENT. All moneys that are spent in the U.S. are done so to support government. When the economists come on and report on how the ECONOMY is doing they are reporting on how well the government is doing. You are just sucking down services right and left. Why not figure out how to do with less?

Twisted Titan
9th October 2010, 06:43 PM
We will all live to see the day when the lowly Mercury dime

Will be prized like a 20 gold eagle

Horn
9th October 2010, 07:02 PM
Why not figure out how to do with less?


Is that before or after the default?

Trinity
9th October 2010, 07:10 PM
A war with another planet might work this time. The debts have become too large to be settled with a country on country war. Personally I have never liked Uranus or Neptune.

RJB
9th October 2010, 07:13 PM
I don't like Uranus either.

Trinity
9th October 2010, 07:18 PM
I have heard on very good authority that the people of Uranus have read our constitution, saw the freedoms it grants us, and they hate us for it. Plus they manipulate their currency.

Dogman
9th October 2010, 07:20 PM
I don't like Uranus either.


Don't forget poor Pluto surely they are mad at us for disrespecting them. By down grading
their status in the solar system. That probe we sent a few years ago, It really was a planet
buster bomb, But that is sure one hell of a long range shot. We may miss ::)


Edit: sorry for going off topic. ;D

JohnQPublic
9th October 2010, 07:23 PM
We will all live to see the day when the lowly Mercury dime

Will be prized like a 20 gold eagle




And people will kill for the $20 gold eagle...

madfranks
9th October 2010, 07:35 PM
I don't like Uranus either.


Watch out for the toxic gas clouds surrounding Uranus.

Book
9th October 2010, 07:41 PM
We can NEVER pay off our debts. To do so would require every US family to pay $31,000 a year for 75 years.



http://john.kovax.org/images/8-week-unborn-baby.jpg

Timmy better get born and start working!

:D

Horn
9th October 2010, 07:45 PM
Uranus would win that war, its too one sided.

Dogman
9th October 2010, 07:48 PM
So default is in the cards. Either that or hyperinflation (which occurs when investors flee a currency). Either of these will be massively US Dollar negative and horrible for the quality of life in the US. But they’re our only options, so get ready.



He missed the trump card in all of this! And IMHO it will be played before all of this settles out.


War is in the cards. The question is when?

Edit: I should have added "Debt what debt?" The war erased it.

gunDriller
9th October 2010, 08:06 PM
I don't like Uranus either.


Watch out for the toxic gas clouds surrounding Uranus.


you mean you can actually see them ?

what do they look like ? :o

FunnyMoney
9th October 2010, 10:21 PM
Really good article. And it must be hyperinflation. Default is not in the cards, matter of fact, default is not even on the table, but capital controls are.

Mouse
10th October 2010, 02:28 AM
Is this dollar positive?

Serpo
10th October 2010, 02:32 AM
still it could be worse.....................hmmmm maybe not...

Libertarian_Guard
10th October 2010, 07:29 AM
We can NEVER pay off our debts. To do so would require every US family to pay $31,000 a year for 75 years.



http://john.kovax.org/images/8-week-unborn-baby.jpg

Timmy better get born and start working!

:D


Little Timmy's middle name should be Debt-Slave.