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View Full Version : Large Swaths of Earth Drying Up, Study Suggests



MNeagle
12th October 2010, 01:18 PM
LiveScience.com livescience Staff

livescience.com – Tue Oct 12, 7:13 am ET
The soils in large areas of the Southern Hemisphere, including large parts of Australia, Africa and South America, have been drying up in the past decade, a new study finds.

The study is the first major one of its kind to look at the movement of water from the land to the atmosphere, called "evapotranspiration," on a global scale. This phenomenon returns about 60 percent of annual precipitation back to the atmosphere, in the process, using more than half of the solar energy absorbed by land surfaces. This is a key component of the global climate system, linking the cycling of water with energy and carbon cycles.

Most climate models have suggested that evapotranspiration would increase with global warming, because of increased evaporation of water from the ocean and more precipitation overall (water that can evaporate). The new research, published online this week in the journal Nature, found that's exactly what was happening from 1982 to the late 1990s.

But in 1998, this significant increase in evapotranspiration - about 0.3 inches (7 millimeters) of water per year - slowed dramatically or stopped.

In large portions of the world, soils are now becoming drier than they used to be, releasing less water and offsetting some moisture increases elsewhere.

Because the data only goes back for a few decades, the researchers say they can't be certain whether the change is part of the natural variability of climate or part of a longer-lasting global change. One possibility, though, is that on a global level, a limit to the acceleration of the hydrological cycle (the transfer of water between land, air and sea) on land has already been reached.

If that's the case, the consequences could be serious. They could include reduced terrestrial vegetation growth, less carbon absorption, a loss of the natural cooling mechanism provided by evapotranspiration, more heating of the land surface, more intense heat waves and a "feedback loop" that could intensify global warming.

"We didn't expect to see this shift in evapotranspiration over such a large area of the Southern Hemisphere," said study co-author Beverly Law, a professor of global change forest science at Oregon State University. "It is critical to continue such long-term observations, because until we monitor this for a longer period of time, we can't be sure why this is occurring."

Some of the areas with the most severe drying include southeast Africa, much of Australia, central India, large parts of South America, and some of Indonesia. Most of these regions are historically dry, but some are actually tropical rain forests.

The rather abrupt change from increased global evapotranspiration to a near halt in this process coincided with a major El Nino event in 1998, the researchers note in their report, but they are not suggesting that the El Nino is the cause for the phenomenon, since the dry-up has been going on for more than a decade now.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20101012/sc_livescience/largeswathsofearthdryingupstudysuggests

mick silver
12th October 2010, 01:40 PM
we just got the first rain we have had in over 60 days . and it only rain for 10 min

Glass
13th October 2010, 06:54 AM
We had very little rain on the west coast Oz. It's spring and everything is already brown. We have replaced wet lands and lots of vegetation with houses, roofs reflecting heat, ashpalt roads, air con etc. We need to revegetate. It would make things wetter and cooler.

keehah
13th October 2010, 08:20 AM
We are drawing down our aquifers.

Seems near every environmental problem can is now due to the resource CO2.

I recall for example when David Susuki (Nature of Things a TV science program) would cover all the ways we are destroying the environment. Now it is focused on how CO2 is making life hard for so many creatures in the world. All the actual destruction we cause is sliding down the memory hole of the average consumer.

While this may involve some top down plans, for the most part I see it as the stupidity of the average person (including scientists) to live simply in denial.

As an immediate example of this hot air from airheads, when looking at the scientific american site I got a put up poll. Gave me four options to choose from on what should our authorities do to reduce our CO2. ::)

Underground "Fossil Water" Running Out (http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/05/100505-fossil-water-radioactive-science-environment/)

Is That Fossil Water You're Drinking?

Oxford's Mike Edmunds said desert nations are only the obvious users of fossil water. In fact, many people may be using it, and using it up, without knowing.

(See: "Vast Buried 'Fossil Lake' Reported in Darfur.")

Globally, wells are often drilled to about 320 feet (100 meters), Edmunds said. "Quite possibly only the top couple of meters of that are recent water. It's pretty obvious in Saudi Arabia or Libya, but that may be the case even in many places that aren’t particularly arid.

"People think about quantity when they are pumping, they don't ask about renewability as much—and that’s the big issue."

Scientific American 2009: Is Northwestern India's Breadbasket Running Out of Water? (http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=is-india-running-out-of-water)

Time, Water Running Out for America's Biggest Aquifer (http://www.aolnews.com/earth-day/article/time-water-running-out-for-ogallala-americas-biggest-aquifer/19446923?ncid=webmaildl1)

AOL April 2010: A new study using satellite data suggests the region is using more groundwater than is being replenished by rainfall

(April 21) -- In 1823, a government surveyor named Stephen Long was working to map out the Great Plains, an expanse of land acquired along with the Louisiana Purchase of 1803. He was unimpressed by what he saw. As his geographer wrote in the report that accompanied the expedition:

I do not hesitate in giving the opinion that it is almost wholly unfit for cultivation, and of course, uninhabitable by a people depending upon agriculture for their subsistence.

Long would have been shocked to see what the region looks like today -- not merely fit for cultivation, but in fact one of the most fertile and productive areas of the world. Since World War II, dramatic leaps in technology have allowed farmers to pump groundwater for irrigation and extend America's breadbasket through the entire Great Plains, transforming what Long called "The Great American Desert" into an expanse of green circles defined by the reach of central pivot irrigation systems.

But that water is not infinite, and many are becoming concerned that Great Plains agriculture is a more precarious proposition than it appears -- meaning Long's report may have been not just a description, but a prediction.

That groundwater for irrigation comes from the Ogallala Aquifer, a massive underground lake that stretches from southern South Dakota through northern Texas, covering about 174,000 square miles. It is being drained at alarming rates, and some places have already seen what happens when local levels drop below the point where water can no longer be pumped.

"You go to areas where the aquifer has been depleted, [they] look pretty poor now," David Brauer, program manager for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Agricultural Research Service Ogallala Aquifer Program, told AOL News. "And it only takes a few years.

loky
14th October 2010, 03:13 AM
lol here in brisbane its been pissing down rain for the past 2 weeks..We've had flooding which sucks.

Serpo
14th October 2010, 05:50 AM
lol here in brisbane its been pissing down rain for the past 2 weeks..We've had flooding which sucks.


ahh the weather.....