PDA

View Full Version : Will Silver Surge Following The Nationalization Of Bolivia's Silver Mines



Serpo
14th April 2011, 12:26 PM
Will Silver Surge Following The Nationalization Of Bolivia's Silver Mines By Embattled President Evo Morales?

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 04/14/2011 14:05 -0400

Nationalization Precious Metals


Two weeks ago the precious metals space was closely following the fate of Sumitomo's San Cristobal mine, where a long strike had paralyzed work at the world's third largest producer of silver and sixth-largest producer of zinc. While the strike was eventually resolved with concession to the domestic workers, a far more troubling report from Bolivian daily La-Razon states that Bolivia's president Evo Morales is now planning on expropriating zinc, silver and tin mines sold off by previous governments. Bloomberg reports that "Morales will announce a decree May 1 to “dismantle the privatization model,” said Nicolas Fernandez, a spokesman for state mining company Corp. Minera de Bolivia, known as Comibol. "The government is recovering all the privatized companies,” Fernandez said today in a telephone interview from La Paz. “When the decision is taken, Comibol will be ready to manage these mines.”" Among the contracts to be affected are those with Glencore International AG, Pan American Silver Corp., and most importantly, Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp., which is operator of the San Bartolome mine: the world's largest pure silver mine. Notably San Bartolome and Sumitomo's San Cristobal "account for about 83% of the nearly 1.1M tons of fine silver Bolivia produced in 2009, according to Mining Ministry data" according to The Gold Report. If indeed this news is proven true, and we will know for sure in 16 days, looks for the price of silver to spike considering about 1.33 million kilograms of silver was produced in Bolivia 2009, according to the U.S. Geological Survey: an amount which will likely fall off a cliff following the utter chaos that is unexpected nationalization.

Bloomberg's report on this important development confirms that the potentially affected producers seem to be in a state of denial about this absurdly irrational development:

“Our property title is not subject to expropriation by the government,” Coeur spokesman Tony Ebersole said in e-mailed comments to questions.

Glencore spokesman Simon Buerk declined to comment and Pan American spokeswoman Kettina Cordero didn’t return telephone calls and e-mails seeking comment.

Bolivia produced 430,879 metric tons of zinc, 84,537 tons of lead, 19,581 tons of tin and 1.33 million kilograms of silver in 2009, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

Nationalizing private industries is nothing new for the embattled Morales:

The government of then President Hugo Banzer sold off mining assets such as the Vinto tin smelter in 1999 in a drive to shed money-losing state companies and attract private investment. Morales seized the smelter from Glencore in 2007.

Morales took over gas fields and refineries on May 1, 2006 in a bid to increase state control over Bolivia’s natural resources. Private investment in the industry plunged 69 percent to $271 million in 2009 from $865 million a decade earlier, according to state energy company YPF Bolivianos.

With the political situation in Bolivia deteriorating (read the following update from La Razon on the strikes and blockade gripping La Paz) it is increasingly probably that the country's president will take irrational steps in order to safeguard his image, and supposedly to fill his coffers.



http://www.zerohedge.com/article/will-silver-surge-following-nationalization-bolivias-silver-mines-president-evo-morales

mamboni
14th April 2011, 12:59 PM
Maybe I should sell SIL?

madfranks
14th April 2011, 01:33 PM
I haven't heard about this, but if nationalization occurs, that should be quite bullish for silver. May 1st isn't that far away; I'll be paying attention to this.

DMac
14th April 2011, 01:35 PM
I recall reading some time in the past that as silver gains steam we could expect various nations to begin nationalizing their silver mines - with this in mind it was discussed to only buy silver mines within the CONUS as these will likely be nationalized at a much later date.

Mamboni - you could be left holding worthless paper (I know, a redundant phrase ;) )

JDRock
14th April 2011, 02:04 PM
i unloaded all my bolivian stocks when morales aka morones, took power.

Hatha Sunahara
14th April 2011, 05:15 PM
Thanks for the heads up, Serpo. I have a number of silver mining stocks in my portfolio, and I'm doing a search now if any have mines in Bolivia.

This might be good for the metal, but it's a definite piece of bad news for mining stocks.


Hatha

Ponce
14th April 2011, 07:41 PM
Well, I told you about this long long ago........"If you don't hold it, you don't own it"... Ponce

osoab
14th April 2011, 07:53 PM
Well, I told you about this long long ago........"If you don't hold it, you don't own it"... Ponce


They have to get it out of the ground for most of us to hold it. :oo-->

Ponce
14th April 2011, 08:41 PM
osoab? then big banks don't think so because they are buying "future" production of silver......like for the next then years?

skid
14th April 2011, 09:35 PM
I've been looking for a good reason to sell CDE and this is it.