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beefsteak
10th August 2011, 08:53 PM
And oldie but a goodie!!
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Do You Believe? Analysts See Gold Parabolic Up to $15,000
Lorimer Wilson (http://www.resourceinvestor.com/Pages/Resource-Investor-Author.aspx?key=Lorimer%20Wilson)

Published 7/23/2010

Believe it or not but I have identified 72 economists, academics, gold analysts and market commentators who have developed rationale as to why gold could quite possibly go to a parabolic top of at least $2,500 an ounce to even as much as an unimaginable $15,000 before the bubble finally pops!

When I first began writing about such projections (http://www.resourceinvestor.com/News/2010/6/Pages/Why-Many-Analysts-See-Gold-Going-As-High-As-10000.aspx?k=Lorimer+Wilson) I was satisfied with identifying 10 individuals who were of the opinion that gold would attain a peak greater than $2,500.

That list has grown to 72 (see below) of which 44 believe that $5,000 or more for gold is likely.

I encourage you to check out their linked articles and their rationale for such high gold prices in the years (and in some cases just months) to come.

Please note: If, in checking out the list below, you find a name or two missing I would appreciate you sending me his/her name and the URL of the article in which the individual states his/her case so I can have the most comprehensive list available on the internet. To be included in the list only projections of gold achieving a parabolic top of at least $2,500 per ounce, accompanied by sound reasons, will be considered. I will provide an updated list at a later date if warranted. Send email to editor@munknee.com.


Higher than $10,000


Mike Maloney (http://goldbasics.blogspot.com/2009/09/gold-should-reach-15000-oz-mike-maloney.html): $15,000
Howard Katz (http://www.24hgold.com/english/contributor.aspx?contributor=Howard+S.+Katz&article=2241359014G10020&redirect=False): $14,000
Silver-Coin-Investor.com (http://www.silver-coin-investor.com/gold-and-silver.html): $7,000-$14,000
Jim Rickards (http://www.cnbc.com/id/34038650/Gold_s_Money_Value_is_4_000_to_11_000_Market_Strat egist): $4,000 – $11,000
Roland Watson (http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05watson081605.html): $10,800 (in our lifetime)


$5,001 – $10,000


Bob Kirtley (http://www.goldeditor.com/wp-content/uploads/editorpdfsimages/Gold-Prices-at-10-000.pdf): $10,000 (by 2011)
Arnold Bock (http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/gold-going-to-parabolic-top-of-10000-by-2012-%e2%80%93-for-good-reasons/): $10,000 (by 2012)
Porter Stansberry (http://www.kitco.com/ind/stansberry/dec022009.html): $10,000 (by 2012)
Tom Fischer (http://gold.approximity.com/gold_price_models_sinclair.html): $10,000
Shayne McGuire (http://www.safehaven.com/article/9572/shayne-mcguire-the-early-innings-of-a-gold-boom): $10,000
Eric Hommelberg (http://www.gold-speculator.com/eric-hommelberg/17257-golds-inflation-adjusted-high-reaches-8000-a.html): $10,000
Gerald Celente (http://www.trendsresearch.com/forecast.html): $6,000 – $10,000
Peter (http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/10_23/b4181044623002.htm)Schiff (http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Gold-forecast-Jim-Rogers-Peter-Schiff-or-Roubini-23940-3-1.html): $5,000 – $10,000 (in 5 to 10 years)
Egon von Greyerz (http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/why-many-analysts-see-gold-going-as-high-as-10000/): $5,000 – $10,000
Patrick Kerr (http://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-reality-check-for-investors-mulling-sale-of-gold-2009-11-20): $5,000 – $10,000 (by 2011)
Peter Millar (http://www.gata.org/files/PeterMillarGoldNoteMay06.pdf): $5,000 – $10,000
Alf (http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-gold-price-objective.aspx?contributor=Alf+Field&article=1440499960G10020&redirect=False)Field (http://www.gold-speculator.com/alf-field/7413-elliot-wave-gold-update-23-a.html): $4,250 – $10,000 (http://jsmineset.com/2009/05/10/alf-field%E2%80%99s-gold-price-predictions/)
Peter George (http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1129126809.php): $3,500 (by 2011-13); $10,000 (by 2015)
Jeff Nielson (http://www.bullionbullscanada.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12906:the-real-truth-about-the-imfs-gold-sale&catid=48:gold-commentary&Itemid=131): $3,000 – $10,000
Dennis van Ek (http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/Goldbug/gold_price/gold_prices_could_hit_9000_per_oz_by_2015_18898034 ): $9,000 (by 2015)
James Turk (http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/where-gold-and-silver-will-be-by-2015/): $8,000 (by 2015)
Joseph Russo (http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/russo/2007/0416.html): $7,000 – $8,000
David Petch (http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_05/petch040105.html): $6,000 – $$8,000
Michael (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article14168.html)Rozeff (http://www.lewrockwell.com/rozeff/rozeff16.html): $2,865 – $7,151
Martin Murenbeeld (http://www.dundeeprecious.com/Theme/Dundee/files/The%20Gold%20Price%20Outlook%20through%202010-%20website.pdf): $3,100 – $7,000
Dylan Grice (http://www.abnnewswire.net/press/en/63123/Barry_Dawes_Projects_Gold_To_Reach_5000oz_At_The_R esources_Investment_Expo_In_Brisbane.htm): $6,300
Aubie Baltin (http://www.24hgold.com/english/contributor.aspx?rss=true&article=2158395926G10020&redirect=false&contributor=Aubie+Baltin): $6,000 (by 2017)
Murray Sabrin (http://www.kitco.com/ind/Sabrin/may262009.html): $6,153
Harry Schultz (http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/harry-shultz-deflation-hyperinflation/2010/06/11/id/361725?s=al&promo_code=A0D6-1): $6,000
Paul van Edeen (http://paulvaneeden/Dr.murenbeelds.gold.price.forecast.for.the.coming. year): $6,000
Lawrence Hunt (http://laurencehunt.blogspot.com/2010/06/gold-invisible-bull-market.html): $5,000 - $6,000 (by 2019)
Paul Brodsky/ (http://www.gold-eage.com/editorials_08/brodsky121208pv.html)Lee Quaintance (http://gata.org/files/QBAssetManagement-07-2009.pdf): $3,000 – $6,000


$5,000


David (http://www.zerohedge.com/article/rosenberg-pattern-would-suggest-test-5000-dow-same-time-gold-5000-too)Rosenberg (http://www.investmentpostcards.com/2010/05/16/3000-gold-price-may-yet-prove-conservative-says-rosie/): $5,000
Martin (http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/thebearslairview?art_id=10309)Hutchinson (http://www.nytimes.com/2010/05/14/business/economy/14views.html): $5,000 (by end of 2010)
Doug Casey (http://pragcap.com/is-gold-going-to-5000): $5,000
Peter Cooper (http://www.arabianmoney.net/gold-silver/2010/05/12/5000-an-ounce-in-sight-as-gold-its-new-all-time-high/): $5,000
Robert McEwen (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=ajm6lryLYViQ): $5,000
Martin Armstrong (http://www.businessinsider.com/martin-armstrong-gold-headed-to-5000-and-beyond-2009-16): $5,000 (by 2016)
Peter Krauth (http://moneymorning.com/2010/01/14/gold-superspike): $5,000
Tim Iacono (http://seekingalpha.com/article/174088-faber-gold-a-better-buy-than-at-300-oz?source=hp): $5,000 (by 2017)
Christopher Wyke (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aF1439PVhAgk): $5,000
Frank Barbera (http://www.theaureport.com/pub/na/1575): $5,000
John Lee (http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/gold_dollar_fiat_currency_fed_confidence_030320082 ): $5,000
Barry Dawes (http://www.abnnewswire.net/press/en/63123/Barry_Dawes_Projects_Gold_To_Reach_5000oz_At_The_R esources_Investment_Expo_In_Brisbane.html): $5,000


$2,500 – $5,000


Pierre Lassonde (http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Panic-effect-could-push-Gold-to-$4000-or-$5000-11770-3-1.html): $4,000 – $5,000;
Mary Anne and Pamela Aden (http://www.adenforecast.com/articlesInterviewDetail.php?id_publicacion=19): $3,000 – $5,000 (by February 2012)
Bob Chapman (http://bobchapman.blogspot.com/2010/05/gold-will-go-to-75-and-gold-to-3000.html): $3,000 (by 2011)
Larry Edelson (http://www.uncommonwisdomdaily.com/two-mandatory-investments-9648?FIELD9=1): $2300 – $5,000 (by 2012)
Luke Burgess (http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/gold-etfs/2409): $2,000- – $5,000
Ian Gordon/Christopher Funston (http://www.munknee.com/2010/06/the-long-wave-cycle-of-winter-is-coming/); $4,000
D.P. (http://www.stockhouse.com/Columnists/2010/Jun/8/Gold-s-next-move-could-be-parabolic)Baker (http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1272548046.php): $3,000 – $3750
Christopher Wood (http://www.bi-me.com/main.php?id=32459&t=1&c=62&cg=4&mset=1011): $3,500 (in 2010)
Adam Hamilton (http://www.commodityonline.com/futures-trading/technical/Gold-price-to-hit-$3500-by-201011-13620.html): $3,500 (by 2010-11)
Eric Roseman (http://worldcurrencywatch.com/2010/04/08/the-still-unpaid-price-of-the-global-bailout/): $2,500 – $3,500 (by 2015)
John Henderson (http://seekingalpha.com/article/160592-gold-1200-by-year-end-1500-in-2010-3000-by-2015-2017): $3,000+ (by 2015-17)
Hans Goetti (http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232/?video=1043867279&play=1): $3,000
Michael Yorba (http://yorbatv.ning.com/forum/topic/show?id=2014856:Topic:9698): $3,000
David Tice (http://www.cnbc.com/id/34240489): $3,000 (by 2012)
David Urban (http://seekingalpha.com/article/36315-why-i-believe-gold-will-hit-3000-oz); $3,000
Michael Lambert (http://mitchell-langbert.blogspot.com/2010/06/is-ride-to-3000-gold-going-to-hit-air.html): $3,000
Brett Arends (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704792104575264863069565780.html): $3,000
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard (http://www.moneynews.com/StreetTalk/evans-pritchard-gold-price/2010/05/26/id/360175): $3,000
Trader Mark (http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/25200/20100526/if-gold-gld-tracks-nasdaq-housing-peaks-its-headed-to-3000-in-18-months.htm): $3,000 (by mid-2011)
John Williams (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/gold/4967209/Gold-Inflation-will-beat-deflation-and-gold-will-hit-3000.html): $3,000
Byron King (http://whiskeyandgunpowder.com/gold-is-going-to-3000-get-some-physical-gold/): $3,000
ThumbCharts.com (http://www.thumbcharts.com/1300/gold-at-3000-only-if-bubbles-repeat): $3,000
Ian McAvity (http://www.mineweb.co.za/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=106419&sn=Detail&pid=102055): $2,500 – $3,000 (by 2012)
Jeff Nichols (http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page34?oid=99961&sn=Detail&pid=1): $2,000 – $3,000
Graham French (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/gold/7743787/Gold-bulls-claim-price-could-double-to-3000-in-five-years.html): $2,000 – $3,000
Sascha Opel (http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=79363&sn=Detail): $2,500+
Rick Rule (http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=107168&sn=Detail&pid=102): $2,500 (by 2013)
Daniel Brebner (http://www.midasletter.com/news/09031105_UBS-bullish-on-gold-price-nearing-2500-dollars.php): $2,500



Conclusion
There you have it. Who would have believed that so many distinguished analysts would maintain that gold and by implication, silver, (see my article (http://www.munknee.com/2010/07/silver%e2%80%99s-historical-correlation-with-gold-suggests-a-parabolic-top-as-high-as-714-per-ounce/) for details) are likely to achieve such lofty levels as a result of the effects of our current financially troubled and volatile times?

Their rationale is varied but each is sound in its own right.

I have identified 72 analysts with such views and look forward to your assistance in adding to that number. [ED: He's now revisited this June 2011, and claims he has 90 analysts in his database currently. http://www.resourceinvestor.com/News/2011/6/Pages/Updating-90-Analysts-Who-Foresee-5000ozt-or-More-Gold.aspx

If we are to put any credence whatsoever into the rationale presented by the above analysts, then it seems prudent for us to own some physical gold and silver in order to shield ourselves from future rampant inflation and currency devaluations and to ensure an outstanding return on our investment. Yes, indeed, “Got Gold?”

Lorimer Wilson is the editor of both www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com (http://www.financialarticlesummariestoday.com/) and www.munknee.com (http://www.munknee.com/). He can be reached by sending an email to editor@munknee.com (editor@munknee.com).


==============


I had NO idea! And this is back when gold was creasing the $1000/$1100 mark.


beefsteak

Shami-Amourae
10th August 2011, 09:00 PM
I think the IRS will come in and start taxing gains on these increases or they will just put on a price ceiling. The Rothschilds will not give up control of their parasitic ponzi scheme that easily.

Ponce
10th August 2011, 09:14 PM
If you are holding the physical gold there are many things that you can do without interversion from the government.

beefsteak
11th August 2011, 09:33 PM
In another thread where gold achieved $1800, silver only put on $0.50 was the topic of the day, yours truly posted a suggestion that spread trading was in part responsible for the pressure on silver while gold heads northwardly.
http://gold-silver.us/forum/showthread.php?52787-gold-up-50-silver-up-0.50-WTF&p=444358&viewfull=1#post444358

Tonight, perusing Zero, this juicy tidbit was discovered, on this very topic.

The spread? Sept/Dec...nothing too remarkable about that.
The calendar year? 2015!!!!
Strike Price? $3,300!!!! 18 bsp...I assume to the traditionally long Dec15 leg.

Sure looks to me like some pro floor trader is trying hard to work out their wrong in the gold market short they still have on in the nearby contracts.

Seemed only fitting to bring said discovered Z/tidbit to this thread, where "who's calling for $3,300 gold" commentary was perused just last night.



Gold Implied Vol To Surge? Gold Sept15/Dec15 $3300 Calendar Spread Trades

http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/pictures/picture-5.jpg (http://www.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden)
Submitted by Tyler Durden (http://www.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden) on 08/11/2011 09:10 -0400

Too lazy to bring up the chart but take our word for it: a block trade $3,330 Gold September/December 2015 calendar spread just hit the tape at 8:46 am on the CME at an 18.5 bps spread.

Looks like someone is starting to believe that the CME interventions in gold via margin hikes will merely compress the implied vol which will explode sooner or later.

Also, without knowing the details behind the trade, we wonder if the strike is an indication of where gold is headed or merely an arbed matrix glitch in the implied vol curve.

We will try to bring you more on any other odd Greeks we notice in the gold market which is increasingly positioning itself as a reserve currency.beefsteak

Hatha Sunahara
11th August 2011, 10:03 PM
I'm not an economist, but I agree with the ones who say it will go up to 5000 or above.

I think the POG is the best, if not the only indicator of confidence the people have in the existing money system. The lower the confidence, the higher the price. Jim Sinclair, who doesn't appear on this list if I read it closely enough, tells us his 1764 number is a 'loss of confidence'. It's when people see the emperor has no clothes. It's when people wake up to how big are the lies they have been told. It's when people will vote for nobody. When most of the world agrees with the people on this forum, we'll see the POG at $5,000 or above.

$5,000 gold only means the dollar is becoming worthless. As the value of the dollar approaches zero (as an asymptotic function) the price will rise toward infinity. So, I am not discounting POG being much higher. How many Zimbabwe dollars would it take to buy an ounce of gold? If the Zimbabwe dollar is the standard of worthlessness, we could have the same thing with the dollar. Depends on how long Helikopter Ben runs his presses.

I am firmly convinced that the amount of virtue people can muster is limited, but the amount of depravity they are capable of is limitless. I think the fate of the dollar will strengthen my conviction.



Hatha