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View Full Version : Gold Break Down on Pennant Formed Dec 28 2011



MAGNES
28th December 2011, 02:53 PM
So we were talking about a setup like this earlier.

Some sort of low expected during this period and Expirey, yesterday was Expirey, 27th.

Is this a bottom, GC just broke down on a pennant it formed, right
at the 200 as well, right near expirey, chart looks very very weak.
Next few days is key.

Here are some previous comments and chart, made on Dec 14 when
GC broke through 200.

Good trading opportunities are possibly coming, or just shopping for physical,
analysis on gold and pulling the trigger on silver.


This SI drop is not unusual, it ain't that big, $2, where gold is sitting is a
bigger deal, we usually get drops in DEC, and usually
there have been setups for short plays, the Gold chart doesn't
look good, bottoms basing sideways, one upside down cup after
another and breakdowns and it formed a pennant, that broke to the
downside at 1700, sitting on roughly 1600, looks bad. Second week of
DEC is good point for a setup to go short, the peak was first week and that
opportunity was not great, to go short on SI. I expect some sort of short during
expirey. It would be blatant for them to do a full correction now but that never
stopped them before. Silver is going to follow gold. The serious breakdown actually
occurred a few days ago when gold broke down on the pennant formed.
People are trading these points, the pennant breakdown,
today is more significant than Sept too. It's not a blow off bottom.

Watch gold , not silver, this is basic.

This is a good chart I have linked to many times.
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=0&dy=0&i=p42106480801&r=3990


http://i42.tinypic.com/1052lw8.png

MAGNES
28th December 2011, 02:58 PM
So will this happen now ?

We didn't have the main drop, but if we do, good entries, safe.



Right now Sparky we watch gold next couple of days.
If it looks weaker and weaker and if there is some sort
of short term setup for a drop. If GC doesn't do a V
here short term, bad news for it, lower red candles, etc,
1500 range is huge resistance, don't know how we can
predict anything in this range. Looking at GC cot chart,
OI is lows, positions are not. SI cot is moot. They could
take it down and close out. 4 th week of DEC. ;D
A inter seasonal and expirey play, 1/2 cot chart, stars are not
going to be totally lined up but ...

I want to see some sort of pennant form in the 1500 range.
That would be good and powerful.
Where are the stops, the whole range down is stops.
1300 would be easy target at that point.

Sparky, comment on what I am saying dude, take me apart.

GC and SI both had closed out short positions since last 2 weeks.

http://i43.tinypic.com/10oqs2h.png

http://i40.tinypic.com/ae8htg.png

MAGNES
28th December 2011, 03:03 PM
Physical still available.

Before.
Kitco is a whole dollar less for Maples and SAE, like last time.
Nothing out of stock yet, in Sept they did have some out of stock.
USD $ 31.76 ea. Vs 33.04 or 32.54 for 25+.
https://online.kitco.com/bullion/completelist_USD.html#silver

Now Spot $27.25 posted on kitco with related prices below.

Silver Maple 1 oz
Product details (https://online.kitco.com/bullion/silver/product_box_silver_maple_1oz.html)
USD $ 30.00 ea.

Silver Eagle 1 oz
Product details (https://online.kitco.com/bullion/silver/product_box_silver_eagle_1oz.html)
USD $ 30.25 ea.

http://www.apmex.com/Category/2/Canadian_Silver_Maple_Leafs_2012__Prior.aspx
http://www.apmex.com/Category/160/Silver_Eagles___Uncirculated_2012__Prior.aspx

APMEX MAPLES
1 - 24 $31.13
25 - 99 $30.63

APMEX SAE
1 - 19 $31.58
20 - 99 $31.08

Spot got hit just in 2 minutes, right at 6PM EST mark, restart of trading.

http://i41.tinypic.com/2usuecl.gif
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http://i40.tinypic.com/4sodow.png