messianicdruid
10th July 2012, 05:27 PM
I notice even Gerald Celente is saying it.
from: www.harveyorgan.blogspot.com
The drop in gold lease rates is ominous as this generally means the cartel leased a huge pile of gold they don't actually own and are about to dump it on London. I may be wrong and the big surge in leasing may be merely to meet delivery demands, but the pattern from the past is that this leads to a cartel attack on gold. That drop in lease rates is manufactured by dropping LIBOR over the desired period below the FORWARD RATE so the bullion banks get the metal at very artificially low rates. In all this talk about manipulating LIBOR, nobody has mentioned lease rates. DROPPING LIBOR BELOW FAIR MARKET RATES ALLOWS THE BANKS TO LEASE AND DUMP GOLD INTO THE MARKET AT ARTIFICIALLY LOW BORROWING COSTS. So that drop in lease rates is VERY ominous. The worse part is the lease rates have flipped, with the ONE YEAR RATE NOW LOWER THAT THE ONE MONTH RATE. DO I BELIEVE MY EYES!?????? Since the one year term and longer is the usual lease rate period of the MINES, I can only conclude that the mines are being strongly encouraged to HEDGE their production. This puts us back under the market conditions more typical of a decade ago. Well, look at the price of the mining shares! If mine managements start hedging here, they will drop the price below total marginal cost rather quickly, and if you thought these idiot shares were cheap before, wait until next year!
Please note that negative lease rates do NOT indicate that you can borrow gold for free, or worse, that bullion banks will pay you to borrow gold. A gold, or silver lease is made at LIBOR as per the following formula: Lease Rate = Libor - Forward Rate The lease rate is the 'fee' that the bullion bank obtains in setting up the lease contract. If Libor is dropped artificially below the Forward Rate, the Lease Rate becomes NEGATIVE, which means the bullion bank is arranging the gold loan below 'cost'. Basically 'below cost' means free as the cost is arbitrary. Low, or negative lease rates mean that leasing is a dying practice, but this assumes that leasing is being done for a profit motive. This, of course is untrue. Leasing is done for political reasons: to manage the price of gold. Expect lease rates to remain low or negative as the monetary system becomes increasingly stressed. The bigger question is, with LIBOR so low, who would be foolish enough to lend their gold? Central banks, even Western central banks must be uneasy about further drops in their gold reserves. That leaves private bullion accounts, etf stockpiles. and commodity futures stockpiles as the only remaining sources. I think these accounts are being raided without client consent via rehypothecation, and leased out. Note: central banks prbably have less than 10% of the total above ground gold stockpiles. The rest is privately held. Raiding this private gold stockpile seems to be the only viable source of the gold that flows eastward out of London. Please note that LIBOR should roughly equal the treasury note yield for each lease period term. Should Treasury yields drop (they are) then the real rates for leasing gold will also drop as LIBOR is forced down. We hear about central banks in Europe setting interest rates at zero or less. Can you see private holders of gold lending out their metal for free? I can't, so negative LIBOR will either not happen or it will but the bullion will be 'leased' out without the knowledge or permission of the owner.
>>>>>>> Do NOT store bullion within the reach of the financial system. Regards, Rhody.
from: www.harveyorgan.blogspot.com
The drop in gold lease rates is ominous as this generally means the cartel leased a huge pile of gold they don't actually own and are about to dump it on London. I may be wrong and the big surge in leasing may be merely to meet delivery demands, but the pattern from the past is that this leads to a cartel attack on gold. That drop in lease rates is manufactured by dropping LIBOR over the desired period below the FORWARD RATE so the bullion banks get the metal at very artificially low rates. In all this talk about manipulating LIBOR, nobody has mentioned lease rates. DROPPING LIBOR BELOW FAIR MARKET RATES ALLOWS THE BANKS TO LEASE AND DUMP GOLD INTO THE MARKET AT ARTIFICIALLY LOW BORROWING COSTS. So that drop in lease rates is VERY ominous. The worse part is the lease rates have flipped, with the ONE YEAR RATE NOW LOWER THAT THE ONE MONTH RATE. DO I BELIEVE MY EYES!?????? Since the one year term and longer is the usual lease rate period of the MINES, I can only conclude that the mines are being strongly encouraged to HEDGE their production. This puts us back under the market conditions more typical of a decade ago. Well, look at the price of the mining shares! If mine managements start hedging here, they will drop the price below total marginal cost rather quickly, and if you thought these idiot shares were cheap before, wait until next year!
Please note that negative lease rates do NOT indicate that you can borrow gold for free, or worse, that bullion banks will pay you to borrow gold. A gold, or silver lease is made at LIBOR as per the following formula: Lease Rate = Libor - Forward Rate The lease rate is the 'fee' that the bullion bank obtains in setting up the lease contract. If Libor is dropped artificially below the Forward Rate, the Lease Rate becomes NEGATIVE, which means the bullion bank is arranging the gold loan below 'cost'. Basically 'below cost' means free as the cost is arbitrary. Low, or negative lease rates mean that leasing is a dying practice, but this assumes that leasing is being done for a profit motive. This, of course is untrue. Leasing is done for political reasons: to manage the price of gold. Expect lease rates to remain low or negative as the monetary system becomes increasingly stressed. The bigger question is, with LIBOR so low, who would be foolish enough to lend their gold? Central banks, even Western central banks must be uneasy about further drops in their gold reserves. That leaves private bullion accounts, etf stockpiles. and commodity futures stockpiles as the only remaining sources. I think these accounts are being raided without client consent via rehypothecation, and leased out. Note: central banks prbably have less than 10% of the total above ground gold stockpiles. The rest is privately held. Raiding this private gold stockpile seems to be the only viable source of the gold that flows eastward out of London. Please note that LIBOR should roughly equal the treasury note yield for each lease period term. Should Treasury yields drop (they are) then the real rates for leasing gold will also drop as LIBOR is forced down. We hear about central banks in Europe setting interest rates at zero or less. Can you see private holders of gold lending out their metal for free? I can't, so negative LIBOR will either not happen or it will but the bullion will be 'leased' out without the knowledge or permission of the owner.
>>>>>>> Do NOT store bullion within the reach of the financial system. Regards, Rhody.