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gunDriller
16th October 2012, 12:58 AM
"The Economic Singularity

Singularity was originally a mathematical term for a point at which an equation has no solution. In physics, it was proven that a large enough collapsing star would eventually become a black hole so dense that its own gravity would cause a singularity in the fabric of spacetime, a point where many standard physics equations suddenly have no solution.

Beyond the "event horizon" of the black hole, the models no longer work. In general relativity, an event horizon is the boundary in spacetime beyond which events cannot affect an outside observer. In a black hole it is "the point of no return," i.e., the point at which the gravitational pull becomes so great that nothing can escape."

"An economic bubble of any type, but especially a debt bubble, can be thought of as an incipient black hole. When the bubble collapses in upon itself, it creates its own black hole with an event horizon beyond which all traditional economic modeling breaks down. Any economic theory that does not attempt to transcend the event horizon associated with excessive debt will be incapable of offering a viable solution to an economic crisis. Even worse, it is likely that any proposed solution will make the crisis more severe."

http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/economic-singularity


Mauldin is a Zio-Economist, who uses Friedman's Stratfor for his 'foreign policy analysis.'

but Mauldin occasionally comes up with a good one.

He uses a metaphor from physics to describe our social & economic world.

Given the truly astronomical levels of debt & fiat that the Zio-governments have created, and the 24/7 criminality at the highest levels of business & government,
it is fair to talk about "an event horizon beyond which all traditional economic modeling breaks down."

I think it's something which many of us feel.


Maybe some pieces of physics theory can help to explain what is happening in our US economy. I would say that we have already passed the Event Horizon, for traditional fixes of the past are not working - the US government is just pretending that they are working. And they clearly have no idea what to next.

Though we do - it involves simply being honest. The US GNP is shrinking at the rate of about 8% a year, when we admit what GNP growth of 2% and an inflation rate of 10% a year really mean.

It doesn't matter how many iPhones people buy.

To some extent, the US government has already declared what it would do in such a situation - declare a "Continuity of Government" emergency, when all resources of the US government are used to guarantee the continuance of the US government. CoG was part of the early post-9-11 language coming out of the US government.

Nomoss
16th October 2012, 02:16 AM
Sad is it not..
Thanks for the post.

palani
16th October 2012, 07:00 AM
Any system that can be described by a characteristic equation is controlled by that equation. Singularities are poles (it shoots to infinity) while places where zeros occur tend to cancel nearby poles.

The thing is when poles appear in the right half of the s-plane the whole thing is unstable. The poles split off in pairs and any disruption causes resonance responses, either swings that exponentially grow to infinity over time or just oscillating wildly.

Any monetary system based upon fictional credit and debt is not constrained by any physical boundary conditions with the result that (as an example) anyone with a single U.S. dollar in Zimbabwe can claim to be a multi-billionair (and still starve).

At any rate the economy is 100% government owned and operated. Let 'em figure out how to control themselves.

gunDriller
16th October 2012, 07:19 AM
At any rate the economy is 100% government owned and operated. Let 'em figure out how to control themselves.

problem is, they're like a Tick - they derive their strength from those whose blood they suck.

and they have millions of jack-booted thugs (US military + local police) who take their orders from the Tick-in-Chief - and the puppeteers who pull his strings.

palani
16th October 2012, 07:25 AM
It comes down to your choice whether you wish to participate or not. I only deal with principals myself and have no contracts with the corporate world and their credit/debt/master/slave scheme.

I recognize though that others do choose to interact in the economic plane and would not wish to impose my views upon them.

Golden
16th October 2012, 06:26 PM
A Conversation with Ray Dalio (1:07:05)

www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFaRazMpxcM
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFaRazMpxcM
Published on Sep 12, 2012 by cfr

De-leveraging is a bitch.

1. Transfer of wealth
2. Austerity (Deflationary)
3. Debt write down (Deflationary)
4. Print money aka QE to Infinity (Inflationary)

"Buy Gold."

Maria needs to shoosh her pie hole.

mamboni
17th October 2012, 05:26 AM
At the economic singularity something gives because life must go on. At that point, there is a collective realization that the economy and the currency are dead. Outsized debts are like black holes to wealth. Therefore, these debts are erased, either through overt default or covert devaluation (hyperinflation). There is no other way out. Bernanke is attempting to walk the razor's edge between the two monetary endstates and orchestrate controlled dollar devaluation long enough to shrink the debt principle relative to economic output. He's hoping to avert a black hole event and slingshot into an orbital recovery. I do not think it can be done because the US economy is far too dependent on social welfare and entitlement spending growth. Also, the banking cartel is too concentrated and too greedy: every time the economy shows some sign of life, the bankers increase their money sucking activities, like a blood-engorged tick on a dying man. The banks must be broken up. Portions of the private debt must be written off or auctioned off. High frequency computer trading must be outlawed - it has no place in honest price discovery in a true free market - it is pure profit skimming with no positive side benefit to society.