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EE_
7th August 2013, 11:34 AM
In the parched West, New Mexico is the driest of the dry
By Julie Cart Los Angeles Times (MCT) The Mankato Free Press

Wed Aug 07, 2013, 07:30 AM CDT

RIO GRANDE VALLEY, N.M. — Scientists in the West have a particular way of walking a landscape and divining its secrets: They kick a toe into loamy soil or drag a boot heel across the desert’s crust, leaning down to squint at the tiny excavation.

Try that maneuver in New Mexico these days and it yields nothing but bad news in a puff of dust.

Across the West, changes in the climate are taking a toll. Almost 87 percent of the region is in a drought.

Nevada is removing wild horses and stocks of cattle from federal rangelands, Wyoming is seeding clouds as part of a long-term “weather modification program,” officials in Colorado say the state’s southeastern plains are experiencing Dust Bowl conditions, and the entire western U.S. has been beset by more frequent and ferocious wildfires across an ever-more combustible landscape.

But nowhere is it worse than in New Mexico. In this parched state, the question is no longer how much worse it can get but whether it will ever get better — and, ominously, whether collapsing ecosystems can recover even if it does.

The statistics are sobering: All of New Mexico is officially in a drought, and three-quarters of it is categorized as severe or exceptional. Reservoir storage statewide is 17 percent of normal, lowest in the West. Residents of some towns subsist on trucked-in water, and others are drilling deep wells costing $100,000 or more to sink and still more to operate.

Wildlife managers are hauling water to elk herds in the mountains and blaming the drought for the unusually high number of deer and antelope killed on New Mexico’s highways, surmising that the animals are taking greater risks to find water.

Thousands of Albuquerque’s trees have died as homeowners under water restrictions can’t afford to water them, and in the state’s agricultural belt, low yields and crop failures are the norm. Livestock levels in many areas are about one-fifth of normal, and panicked ranchers face paying inflated prices for hay or moving or selling their herds.

The last three years have been the driest and warmest since record-keeping began here in 1895. Chuck Jones, a senior meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Albuquerque, said even the state’s recent above-average monsoon rains “won’t make a dent” in the drought; deficits will require several years of normal rainfall to erase, should normal rain ever arrive.

With water supplies at the breaking point and no relief in sight, a domino-effect water war has broken out, which might be a harbinger of the West’s future. Texas has filed suit, arguing that groundwater pumping in New Mexico is reducing Texas’ share of the Rio Grande. Oklahoma has successfully fended off a legal challenge from Texas over water from the Red River.

New Mexico’s stretch of the once-mighty Rio Grande is so dewatered that, sadly but aptly, it is referred to as the “Rio Sand.”

The question many here are grappling with is whether the changes are a permanent result of climate change or part of cyclical weather cycle. Jones, a member of the governor’s drought task force, is cautious about identifying three years of extreme drought as representing a new climate pattern for New Mexico. It could be a multi-year aberration.

Nonetheless, most long-term plans put together by cattle ranchers, farmers and land managers include the probability that the drought is here to stay.

John Clayshulte, a third-generation rancher and farmer near Las Cruces, removed all his cattle from his federal grazing allotment. “There’s just not any sense putting cows on there. There’s not enough for them to eat,” he said.

“It’s all changed. This used to be shortgrass prairies. We’ve ruined it and it’s never going to come back.”

———

Kris Havstad punched his boot into the sunbaked ground and grunted. Havstad, a range expert with the U.S. Department of Agriculture, joined a group of other biologists and land managers on a recent tour of government rangeland north of Las Cruces.

Federal scientists are grimly watching a rare ecological phenomenon unfold here, a catastrophic alteration known as “state change” — the collapse of the vast Chihuahuan Desert grasslands ecosystem and its transformation into a sandy, scrub desert affording little forage for wildlife or livestock.

Carpeting the landscape in lush waves, Black Grama grass had long been the signature of the 140,000-square-mile Chihuahuan Desert. But overgrazing and persistent drought have hit hard here, reducing the grass to small, stiff tufts, sparsely spaced.

The 10,000-year-old desert is changing, scientists say. Grasses are in a cycle of collapse, overwhelmed by hardy and long-lived shrubs such as mesquite and creosote.

Havstad picks at a mesquite seed pod, noting that absent any grass, hungry livestock are consuming them. “They are not terribly nutritious,” he said. “It’s like being the last one at the buffet and the only thing left is snow peas.”

With only shrubs available to eat, the land is losing its ability to feed the cattle that graze here. So little grass remains that a square mile — 640 acres — can sustain just three to five cows in current conditions. A healthy desert can handle five times as many.

This federal land and the adjacent Jornada Experimental Range offer a trove of data for climate study. The research station has kept monthly precipitation data since 1915, and the federal Bureau of Land Management has historical photographs of plots throughout the region that provide a time-lapse map of change.

In one spot, a photograph dating to the 1960s shows a lush grassy square. As the group of scientists flips through the pictures, over time the plot becomes stripped of vegetation. The photographs depict inexorable change.

Jim McCormick is the Bureau of Land Management’s assistant district manager for the area. He said his staff had spent time and prodigious sums of money in a program to help the land recover from a century of harsh climate and cattle grazing.

“Then came the drought to undo all our work,” he said.

The bureau oversees much of the region, which includes one of the largest public grazing areas in the country. The agency has asked ranchers to remove their cattle from a number of pastures for a year or two to allow the land to rest. In many cases, officials say, ranchers are taking their livestock off voluntarily.

But not all the damage can be blamed on cattle; nor can simply removing them heal the landscape. An altered climate is now the biggest driver pushing the landscape-wide alterations taking place across the West.

“In the old days, we used to think if we built a fence around it, it will be OK,” said Brandon Bestelmeyer, who conducts research on the Jornada for the Department of Agriculture. “That thinking didn’t take into account climate change. These kind of state changes are catastrophic changes. They can be irreversible.”

As vegetation dies off and the process of desertification accelerates, Bestelmeyer said, the Chihuahuan Desert will expand. As Western cities continue their march into wildlands, the growing desert and the sprawling suburbs are on a collision course.

Bestelmeyer, a landscape ecologist, describes what’s at stake: “If we lose the grasslands, grazing is over, and the generations of people who depend on grazing will lose their livelihoods.”

Biodiversity will decline as wildlife and bird species move away or die off. Moreover, a denuded landscape loses its ability to transport water to recharge aquifers, a crucial resource in the desert.

Finally, he said, without vegetation to hold soils in place, dust and sand will be on the move and encroach onto roads, crops, homes and businesses.

“You don’t want a Sahara here,” Bestelmeyer said.

http://mankatofreepress.com/statenews/x1084949142/In-the-parched-West-New-Mexico-is-the-driest-of-the-dry

Ponce
7th August 2013, 11:46 AM
What's the big friking deal?......build linned deep lakes where you can hold all the water in the world......not thinking ahead is the reason for worries and doing nothing about it is the reason for worries.

V

EE_
8th August 2013, 06:12 AM
Looks like it's going to be a bad fire season.
Something I didn't mention when I recently moved from the west to the east coast. I've crossed this country several times and I've never seen it as bad as I did on this trip across the Interstae 40.
I've never seen the land this parched, abandoned dried up farms, blight and roads that are the in the worst condition I've seen anywhere.
The 40 from New Mexico to Tennesse were in in the worst disrepair they have ever been, with construction only getting started. This country is crumbling and to see a major interstate in this condition is inexcusable.


Hundreds flee, homes burn, 3 hurt in Calif. fire.
View gallery http://news.yahoo.com/hundreds-flee-homes-burn-3-hurt-calif-fire-070559091.html
. . .
1 hour ago .BANNING, Calif. (AP) — A wildfire that broke out in the inland mountains of Southern California has expanded exponentially, burning homes, forcing the evacuation of several small mountain communities and leaving three people injured.

About 1,500 people had evacuated as the wildfire of more than 9 square miles raged out of control Thursday in the San Jacinto Mountains near Banning, said Lucas Spelman, spokesman for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection.

Three were injured, including two firefighters taken to hospitals by ambulance and a burned civilian who was airlifted out, state fire officials said. They would give no further details on the injuries.

Fire officials said about a dozen structures were damaged or destroyed, but could not say how many were homes. Footage from TV news helicopters and photos from the scene showed several houses in flames.

They include the Twin Pines home of Dave Clark, whose parents were killed in a house fire in Riverside in April 2012 the Riverside Press-Enterprise reported. Prosecutors alleged Clark's sister Deborah Clark set the fire, and she was awaiting a mental-competency hearing to see if she was competent to stand trial for her parents' murder in a case that has received extensive local media coverage.

..View gallery."
A pickup truck is engulfed in flames as the Silver Fire roars through a residential area near Hwy 24 …A photograph taken by the Desert Sun newspaper showed Clark talking on his cellphone with the home fully engulfed in flames behind him.

"He said he lost everything, he couldn't talk," brother Jeff Clark told the Press-Enterprise.

About 800 people evacuated the Silent Valley Club, a private RV resort, state fire spokesman Lucas Spelman said.

About 700 more were under evacuation order in the rural communities of Poppet Flats, Twin Pines, Edna Valley and Vista Grande, and evacuation centers were set up at high schools in Hemet and Banning. The communities are in the San Jacinto Mountains along Interstate 10 some 80 miles east of Los Angeles.

Margaret Runnels of Poppet Flats was at work when her house came under an evacuation order. She was in Banning waiting for her husband to collect pets and valuables from their house.

"I was hoping they would let me back up to get some personal items I knew my husband would forget like a jewelry box and stuff that means stuff," a crying Runnels told the Desert Sun. "You always tell yourself to prepare everything but you never take the stupid time to do it."

More than 500 firefighters, helped by five helicopters and five air tankers, were working to protect homes and get ahead of the flames. All but three helicopters were grounded after night fall but were expected to return to the air Thursday morning.

http://news.yahoo.com/hundreds-flee-homes-burn-3-hurt-calif-fire-070559091.html

Ponce
8th August 2013, 07:05 AM
I still see some smoke in this area.......not sure if the many fire around here are out........but..........yesterday we had hail the size of my thumb for about five minutes and rain for ten minutes.

V

gunDriller
8th August 2013, 07:14 AM
Looks like it's going to be a bad fire season.
Something I didn't mention when I recently moved from the west to the east coast. I've crossed this country several times and I've never seen it as bad as I did on this trip across the Interstae 40.
I've never seen the land this parched, abandoned dried up farms, blight and roads that are the in the worst condition I've seen anywhere.
The 40 from New Mexico to Tennesse were in in the worst disrepair they have ever been, with construction only getting started. This country is crumbling and to see a major interstate in this condition is inexcusable.


i expect we will be seeing more major disasters that involve this theme.

e.g. hurricane homing in on South Florida, but suddenly a gas shortage - no one can evacuate.

or something involving the roads. a pile-up with a simple cause (pothole causing car to roll), preventing evacuation from a wildfire, citizens turned into crispy-critters.

or the simple combination of an earthquake and a wildfire. overpass falls onto road below it, instant gridlock, evacuate on foot or not at all.


the US gov. spends HUGE amounts of money with the official purpose of outwitting Mr. Murphy (as in Murphy's Law).

but i would say we are less well equipped to outwit Mr. Murphy now than we were in the 60's & 70's.


last night we had lightning hit a tree on the hill behind our house. my neighbor, retired logger & firefighter, went up to see what was going on. the lightning hit a live tree, blew it into pieces, but no fire.

earlier in the week, we cut down some dead & very dry trees. those are the ones you don't want to get hit by lightning. they were on another neighbor's land. i asked him about it and he said we could cut them down.


while we were doing that, i got a chance to look at another neighbor's fire prevention.
A/ all evergreens.
B/ not one single dry leaf or stick on the ground anywhere. looks like a Japanese rock garden.
C/ no under-brush. he's a big believer in herbicide, which i am not. i prefer to use small amounts of herbicide on the baby plants, e.g. Scotch Broom (makes great kindling but it's a fire hazard when it's dry), and to rip out the big ones by hand.