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View Full Version : Richard Russell - The Dollar Will Crash In A Matter Of Months



Ares
22nd April 2014, 11:25 AM
With continued turmoil and uncertainty in global markets, today KWN is publishing another important piece that was written by a 60-year market veteran. The Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, made this ominous prediction, “In a matter of months, I see the dollar crashing.” Russell also stated that he is buying all of the physical gold and silver he can, “while they are still available.”

Russell: “For the benefit of new subscribers, I want to state my position. I think the bear market that started in 2007 was interrupted, BUT NOT ENDED, by the Fed. Somewhere ahead, I believe this bear market will run to conclusion. I also believe that the great recession never ended, but was masked by the “manufacture” rally in the stock market. Thus the reason that the Fed cannot produce its much-wanted 2% inflation is that the deflationary pressure of the great recession is still in force. The stock market continues to struggle higher, with the needed help of the Fed’s QE and zero interest rates.


The question of the year will be how the markets react when the Fed's QE starts to fade. Sensing the deflationary pressures, the Fed has backed off on the imminent end to its zero interest rates. The latest is that zero rates (ZIRP) will continue far into the future. My investment stance continues to be holding physical gold and silver with just enough cash to get me by on a daily basis. Incidentally, I noted that with gold down on Thursday, silver held its price, indicating that on a relative strength basis, silver may be outperforming gold.


Interesting, all the gold ever mined is still available and in existence, whereas silver is used up for industrial purposes. As for the stock and bond markets, they have been rising on the basis of Fed manipulations. Since the forthcoming actions of the Fed are unknown, the stock and bond markets are functioning at high risk. Meanwhile, money managers are frantically searching for income or profits. So the question is -- is the risk worth the potential reward? As far as I'm concerned, the potential profits in these markets are not worth the risk.


I'm increasingly worried about holding dollars. We can still trade in tangible unbacked dollars for real wealth, silver and gold. I'm buying all the physical precious metals I can, while they are still available.


I think we are seeing the greatest transfer of wealth (West to East) in all history. China is amassing a huge hoard of gold while I don't know how much the US and the English speaking nations actually have. The western central banks’ policy of selling gold to knock down the price is a disaster (and China must love it). The US will lose its reserve currency advantage within a few years or probably less time. Our defense against a weak economy is always to print more money. In a matter of months, I see the dollar crashing.”


http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/4/22_Richard_Russell_-_The_Dollar_Will_Crash_In_A_Matter_Of_Months.html

StreetsOfGold
22nd April 2014, 12:42 PM
"The Dollar Will Crash In A Matter Of Months"

With all due respect to Richard, I heard this years ago.......many times.
Eventually he will be right and so will everyone else that just happened to say it within the time frame it actually does.

Ponce
22nd April 2014, 01:35 PM
I saw today yesterday...as a matter of fact in 1998, and the first thing that I did was to get the hell out of CA........... to be able to see tomorrow all that you have to do is to add all that is going on today.

V

Sparky
22nd April 2014, 02:41 PM
"The Dollar Will Crash In A Matter Of Months"

With all due respect to Richard, I heard this years ago.......many times.
Eventually he will be right and so will everyone else that just happened to say it within the time frame it actually does.

This is about right. I don't think anything close to what I would consider a "crash" will happen within months. Just the opposite, actually. I see it continuing to increase, until Russia and China set a deal to bi-apps the PetroDollar, perhaps as soon as next month.

Can we talk about what's considered a crash, in terms of the USD index? The closest thing to a crash in recent history was when it lost 50% over three years from 1985-1987. Of course, it had only positive impact on the U.S. Good for stock markets and international trade. No doom.

In order for the dollar to crash, some other fiat currency has to take its place. From 2002-2008, it looked like the Euro was becoming competition, which caused the USD to fall from 120 to 80 (a 33% drop). But then the world financial crisis hit, and everybody rushed back into the dollar, demonstrating that it is still king. And the Euro has proven to be backed even more weakly than the USD.

If Russia and China come to make a deal, I could see the USD taking a big hit, maybe losing as much as 10-20%. But I suspect that, too, will be temporary until the next world crisis arises and people rush back into the USD and gold.