John Williams - Early Roots of Hyperinflation in the Not Too Distant Future

[Shami-Amourae]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Xc32LW-XGA

On the U.S. dollar, economist John Williams says because the Fed will not be able to raise rates in a sinking economy, the dollar will sink too. Williams explains, “That’s why you’ve seen weakness in the dollar in the last couple of weeks. As the economic outlook has dimmed and expectations of the Fed raising rates has been pushed off into the future, which is a major factor in the unfolding dollar weakness, it’s still a lot stronger than a year ago, but the downturn in the dollar has started. . . . Unexpected economic weakness adds stress to the financial system. It also tends to widen projections on the budget deficit. It will make Treasury fundings more difficult. The Fed’s going to need to be in there monetizing debt and doing what it can do to prop up the banks. That is all bad news for the dollar. As the dollar weakens, that’s going to be inflationary. As the dollar falls, oil prices will continue to rise. Gasoline prices are going to go higher again. That’s where you are going to see early stages of inflation. As the world gets used to the Fed debasing the dollar, you will see intensified selling. Watch for a massive decline in the dollar, which will be the early roots of hyperinflation in the not-too-distant future.”

[Shami-Amourae]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Vc0aL6EzM4

What does renowned economist John Williams make of the strength of the dollar in the last year? He thinks the markets were anticipating the Fed raising interest rates because of the so-called “recovery.” Of course, the economy is not improving, and Williams thinks when the Fed tries to pump the economy back up, the dollar will dive.

Williams explains, “I was looking for a hyperinflation in 2014. What I did not expect and what I have missed is the big rally in the dollar. . . . The economy was never improving. Now, it’s not only not improving, but it is begging to turn down again. That’s the importance of quarter to quarter contraction. When you get that, you get official recognition that the economy is falling, and it is not recovering. So, as the expectations wane on the Fed tightening, you will start to see dollar selling. I think you are going to see a panic decline in the dollar at some point, massive selling of the dollar, not only that, it will take it down to levels of a year ago, but to historic lows. As that happens, you will see a tremendous spike in oil prices which will start moving the consumer price index pick up. . . . You have an overhang in excesses of $12 trillion outside the United States.

A goodly portion of that will be repatriated to the United States into the US markets. People will be dumping the dollar to get out of the dollar and the Fed is going to have to be monetizing all sorts of things. . . . What’s out of whack right now against reality is the strength of the dollar. We don’t have a booming economy. We don’t have a Fed that is going to happily raise rates, although they would like to. As the realization sinks in, the exchange rate of the dollar will start falling. Then, you will actually have a panic, and once that has happened, you will see a sharp upturn in headline inflation, and that will evolve eventually into hyperinflation. . . . A dollar panic is reflective of the problems here.”