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EE_
4th August 2015, 08:07 PM
What's going to happen when this one pops? I hope no one expects any sympathy. It could be epic!

Housing Bubble 2.0: Some Things Never Change
Joshua Krause August 3rd, 2015
The Daily Sheeple

As someone who lives in the Bay Area, I can say from experience that I am absolutely sick of the housing bubble. While this is a national problem, it’s especially bad in America’s major metropolitan areas. You can’t buy a house out here without selling your children into slavery. And forget about rent. In places like Oakland, arguable one of the crappiest cities in America, the rent has doubled in the span of 5 years to an average of$2800 per month. The cost of shelter has surpassed the ridiculous heights of the last housing crash, and the average wage earner in California can neither afford to buy, nor rent.

And yet, the bubble continues to grow, and where it ends, nobody knows.

Recently in Venice, California, someone had the gall to price a 714 square foot house for $1.1 million. That same house sold for $450,000 in 2010, and $30,000 in 1982. Inflation doesn’t have anything on the housing bubble.

And who could forget the man who half jokingly placed an ad to rent out a tent in his back yard in Mountain View, California. He managed to get an offer for almost $1000 a month.

The one that really takes the cake for me, was a small house in San Francisco that was recently under contract for just over $1 million. There was only one small problem with the place though.

Located in the city’s Richmond District, a fairly desirable neighborhood, the home has one very undesirable flaw: In April of this year, the mummified corpse of the home’s former owner was found inside,wrapped in a blanket.

The woman, named Anna Ragin, had reportedly died five years earlier, but her 65-year-old daughter hadn’t told anyone that her mother’s body was still in the home…

…The home is apparently in a very sorry state. According to a piece written by Bob Calhoun for SF Weekly, “A fresh coat of paint on the walls and scrubbed floors couldn’t quite chase away the smell of toxic mold and urine from the corners of the bedroom and kitchen.”

When you’re not in a housing bubble, those kinds of houses don’t sell very well, or at all in some cases. The stigma (and supernatural implications) of a house that had a mummified corpse in it, is enough to keep most buyers away. And that’s without it smelling like piss and mold. But in a market like this? You take what you can get.

It’s gotten so bad that some people are trying to get creative with their housing, by living in shipping containers.

Luke Iseman, 31, leases a 17,000-square-foot warehouse in Oakland in which he has built 11 micro residences out of cargo containers, Bloomberg reports. He charges $1,000 per months for each of the makeshift homes, which aren’t legal, strictly speaking. Iseman and his “cargotopia” (as he calls it) have been chased from two other locations by the authorities. But that hasn’t dampened his spirit.

“It’s not making us much money yet, but it allows us to live in the Bay Area, which is a feat,” Iseman told Bloomberg. “We have an opportunity here to create a new model for urban development that’s more sustainable, more affordable and more enjoyable.”

On Iseman’s website, he lays out the cargotopia manifesto: “We’re living in a solar-powered, sustainable home we built for less than the cost of a car. Chickens in the yard, fast internet, occasionally-alive gardens, and providing affordable homes for our friends: it’s getting harder and harder to consider our sustainability a sacrifice.”

Isn’t it interesting that if you try to live self-sufficiently, and within your means, you get “chased off” by the authorities? That’s the real tragedy of the housing bubble. You can’t look at the absurd housing prices and say “screw that, I’d rather live in a steel hut.” After all, terrible houses still sell for mansion prices, so why not pay less for what is less. Unfortunately there aren’t a whole lot of other options that won’t get you into trouble. You can either sell your organs to live in a shack, or you can go homeless. There’s no in-between.

Obviously, none of this is sustainable. This bubble was largely fueled by the Fed’s money rain, which means the market is flooded with inflated dollars. While housing prices have soared, wages are stagnant and home ownership rates have fallen to record lows. It’s only a matter of time before the housing market crashes again, and like clockwork, all these people who bought houses over the past few years will be just as shocked and bewildered as they were in 2008. Some things never change.
http://readynutrition.com/resources/housing-bubble-2-0-some-things-never-change_03082015/

Hitch
4th August 2015, 09:24 PM
Good article, I've been saying this for years about the Bay Area. Housing is completely insane here, especially in San Francisco. I know there's a lot of money here, but is it really believable so many people here can afford a million dollar crappy house? It truly just baffles me. I work here, but I know I could not afford to even rent a 1 bedroom apartment in SF.

mick silver
5th August 2015, 01:03 PM
we have been thinking about buying a home in San Francisco
not really . hell every thing here moving up and no takers

madfranks
5th August 2015, 02:01 PM
Good article, I've been saying this for years about the Bay Area. Housing is completely insane here, especially in San Francisco. I know there's a lot of money here, but is it really believable so many people here can afford a million dollar crappy house? It truly just baffles me. I work here, but I know I could not afford to even rent a 1 bedroom apartment in SF.

I've got a techie friend who lives in SF. He has two roommates, and together they pay $4500 a month to rent a single story flat.

Cebu_4_2
5th August 2015, 07:05 PM
we have been thinking about buying a home in San Francisco
not really . hell every thing here moving up and no takers

Mick your full of shit, your just edging about that next new tractor. Rain the next week for you, make sure you get good traction with the tires.

EE_
6th August 2015, 05:34 AM
San Francisco living in containers and NorCal tents: The housing mania is causing people to pay high prices for what amounts to camping.

I wanted to continue in the vein of high housing costs in Northern California because the mania is so out of control. People are funny creatures.

Everyone wants a piece of their own cave and some are willing to pay every penny of disposable income to live in a certain zip code. That is until, the mania fades out. I saw a lot of this during the first tech boom in the late 1990s. We are in deep and frothy territory here and valuations are out of control for many tech firms. Bay Area housing is largely driven by the stock market and VC money flowing into start-ups for those hard to find unicorns. Like the old school gold rush, those running side hustles seem to be doing well catering to this new tech mania. Many readers sent over an article about an enterprising person that has a warehouse full of shipping containers. What is he shipping? Your hopes and dreams for affordable housing in San Francisco.

The Bay Area goes full mania

Here in SoCal, we are home to the most expensive real estate relative to household incomes. We out do San Francisco and New York because overall, they earn more there. This is why recent sales are going largely to big money from abroad and big time investors. The sales that go to regular households are folks stretching every inch of their budget to buy a crap shack. But a SoCal crap shack might look like Taj Mahal compared to what is going on in the Bay Area:

“(Bloomberg) The Wharton School graduate’s 160-square-foot box has a camp stove and a shower made of old boat hulls. It’s one of 11 miniature residences inside a warehouse he leases across the Bay Bridge from the city, where his tenants share communal toilets and a sense of adventure.

Legal? No, but he’s eluded code enforcers who rousted what he calls cargotopia from two other sites. If all goes according to plan, he’ll get a startup out of his response to the most expensive U.S. housing market.”

http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/container.jpg

Why in the world would people pay absurd prices to what amounts to camping?

“That’s a towering goal where costs are so high people of average means get inventive or get out. The median rent in June jumped 16 percent from a year earlier in San Francisco to $4,272 and climbed 15 percent to $3,237 in the metro area, Zillow Group Inc. reported Thursday. The median sales price is $1.14 million in the city and $660,000 areawide.”

This is sardine living taken up to the next level. With the median rent hitting $4,272 per month, people are getting creative. Living out of a shipping container is definitely creative. I find it poetically tragic that these shipping containers were/are largely used to ship products from China (a country that is now buying up a ton of the available real estate in California and has also chipped away at US manufacturing).

Living in shipping containers isn’t the only housing “hack” that is happening in Northern California:
“The market is so crazy it’s spawned innovations that keep inspectors up at night. Garages are converted to studios, offices to lofts, living rooms to rentable units, many without permits. As many as 60,000 San Franciscans live in illegal housing, according to the Department of Building Inspection.”

This nonsense is also happening here with your Taco Tuesday baby boomers renting out rooms in Santa Monica and Culver City. But leave it to the Bay Area to get wickedly creative:

“In Mountain View, home to Google Inc. and LinkedIn Corp., John Potter advertised a backyard tent on AirBnB for $900 a month, spurring a dozen copycats. He got a cease-and-desist order because the tent was an unlicensed structure, but is undeterred. “My next thing is a tree house,” said Potter, 22, who runs an animal photography studio and avoids the housing-price problem by living with his parents.”
tent

http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/tent.jpg

The next million dollar zip code in the Bay Area

Bwahahaha! We’ve talked about the 2.3 million adult children living back home with parents because they are too broke to rent. Now you can generate extra income by having tenants “camp” out in your backyard or live in a freaking tree house. By the way, where do they go to the restroom? Your crap shack of course. Yes sir! No mania here. Maybe I’ll list my trash bin on AirBnB and go for the Oscar the Grouch living arrangement. Just be careful on Monday as to not get taken away by Waste Management.

And this is a neighborhood where you want to plant roots? Neighbors turning their homes into make-shift camp grounds or hotels? Yeah, sounds like an awesome plan. Maybe a shipping container makes more sense. And you wonder why California residents are leaving the state in droves.

http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/san-francisco-living-in-containers-norcal-tents-airbnb/

PatColo
7th August 2015, 01:47 AM
I've mentioned my Bay Area RE experience, esp since Summer 2010 when family sold a home in San Mateo/Foster City. Scooped up at $760k by chinese buyer(s); who had flown in from HK the night before, and their (CH-American) realtor had arranged numerous homes to view. Under contract within a couple days from 1st viewing. Zillow today, 5 years later, estimates home value at $1.2 MM, +58%, all time high, ~'06 peak was about $1 MM). DOH! :o Who knew?! Realtors all agreed, "chinese money" was/is a huge element fueling demand.

I figure these 'chinese robber barons' so flush with cash, are expatiating their ill gotten cash acquired from being neck deep in the official & business corruption CH is notorious for, into hard assets abroad. Bay Area, with its vast chinese foothold already, is liable to benefit from this... well, not the middle class & lower, but BA RE owners enjoying rising prices. Rich > Richer.


a good deal of this podcast discusses the regional RE bubble


1 hour podcast inside:

August 6, 2015 (http://memoryholeblog.com/2015/08/06/western-central-banks-are-losing-control/)
Western Central Banks Are Losing Control (http://memoryholeblog.com/2015/08/06/western-central-banks-are-losing-control/) 2 (http://memoryholeblog.com/2015/08/06/western-central-banks-are-losing-control/#comments)

by James Tracy (http://memoryholeblog.com/author/truthgulag/) • Interviews (http://memoryholeblog.com/category/interviews/) • Tags: economy (http://memoryholeblog.com/tag/economy/), geopolitics (http://memoryholeblog.com/tag/geopolitics/), police state and civil rights

(http://memoryholeblog.com/tag/police-state-and-civil-rights/) https://memorygapdotorg.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/x22report.jpg?w=474

(https://www.youtube.com/user/X22Report)

This week James speaks with Dave, an economic and political analyst, webmaster and host of the X22 Report. (http://x22report.com) They discuss potential catastrophic events in coming months, Jade Helm, the increasingly desperate moves of central planners to prop up fiat currencies and related geopolitical developments attached to sustaining the petrodollar, including the assault on Syria. Dave also explains how broader political and economic concerns impact personal finances, and what one can do in terms of preparedness.


He asserts that since 2008 major economic interests have been preparing themselves for further market turmoil, and the present economic paradigm is not feasible past 2016. Presently a struggle is on between China and Russia, and Western central banks that will likely seek to reintroduce similar fiscal programs once a major crisis has been endured.


More… (http://memoryholeblog.com/2015/08/06/western-central-banks-are-losing-control/#more-18774)