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mick silver
10th February 2016, 08:54 AM
SouthFront: Turkey’s Military Intervention to SyriaBy South Front (http://www.veteranstoday.com/author/southfront/) on February 10, 2016


…from SouthFront (http://southfront.org/foreign-policy-diary-turkeys-military-intervention-to-syria/)During the video production, Southfront: Analysis & Intelligence also recieved information that at least one Saudi motorized brigade equipped with about 90 armoured vehicles were moved to Iraqi border. (https://www.facebook.com/100009574543230/videos/1537809923214811/) This force could become a core of a joint force (http://southfront.org/saudi-arabia-moves-troops-to-iraqi-border/) which could be used by the Saudi-led coalition to support Turkish military intervention (http://southfront.org/arab-coalition-prepares-new-military-invasion/) to Syria.
The military balance in Northern Syria is shifting rapidly. The Syrian Army and local militias supported by the Russian Air Force have cut terrorists from major supply lines from Turkey and almost encircled the militant forces in the Aleppo city. This has become possible due to the actions of the Russian Aerospace Defense Forces which have been destroying the terrorists’ sources of funding since 2015. Thus, we could observe a breakdown on the battlefield which leads to a full collapse of the terrorists forces in Syria step by step. This also dished schemes of the foreign players interested in overthrowing of the Assad government.
In the contemporary situation the Erdogan’s regime acts as a main sponsor and creator of a terrorist threat in the Middle East. Turkey is a crucial part of terrorist logistics network which allows terrorist groups in Syria to receive arms supplies and reinforcements. The Turkish elites have a strong business ties predominantly oil smuggling with ISIS and other terrorists in Syria. The Erdogan’s imperial ambitions in the Middle East also plays an important role in the conflict. Erdogan believes that a breakdown of Syria will allow him to set a protectorate or even occupy the northern part of the Arab country.
The successes of anti-terrorist forces in Syria have destroyed a hope to realize these plans easily. Considering this, the Erdogan’s regime launched preparations for a direct intervention to the country without any legal mandate. A high-level of concentration of the Turkish military are already observed in the Syrian-Turkish border by civil and military sources. Furthermore, there are irresistible videos proofs that Turkey has been conducting a series of cross-border artillery shelling violating the Syrian sovereignty.
Experts suggest Turkey is ready to deploy some 18,000 troops with substantial artillery and air support to occupy a 30-kilometer deep territory across the border running from the city of Jarabulus westward to the city of Azaz. The operation would cover an area under ISIS control, and it would provide a direct military assistance to terrorists and facilitate establishing of a buffer zone for the vestiges of their forces in Northern Syria. It would drastically escalate the tensions with the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) and the predominantly Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). However, the Turkish military is fully capable of completing the first move aimed to push the SAA and the SDF from the aforementioned area and occupy a significant part of Northern Syria.
This step will likely face a hard answer of the Russian military grouping located in the country. The Russian land and navy air-defense systems and fighter jets are fully capable to neutralize the Turkish air force which will allow the Syrian government to counter-attack the Turkish intervention forces. Thus, the anti-terrorist forces will get a chance to exercise a counter-attack which will be likely supported by the Russian Aerospace Defense Forces.
This situation leads to 2 main scenarios:


If the SAA with support by militia forces, Iran, and Russia isn’t able to push the Turkish military from Syria, the Erdogan’s regime will strengthen presence at the occupied territories and use gained time to receive at least air and intelligence support by NATO. In this case, the conflict could easily lead to a global war.
If the SAA supported by local militias, Iran, and Russia knock out the Turkish intervention forces from Syria, NATO will face the fact that Syria is de-facto liberated and the terrorists are cut from their main supplier. It could prevent a global escalation. However, the NATO countries would strengthen their presence in Iraq and use it as a foothold to launch further destructive actions against Syria. The situation will also become especially acute in Ukraine and in the Central Asia because a destabilization in these regions could be easily used against the Syria’s main allies: Russia and Iran.




Related Posts:

SouthFront: Syria battlespace – Dec. 9, 2015 (http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/12/09/southfront-syria-battlespace-dec-9-2015/)
SouthFront: Syria-Iraq battlespace, Dec. 8, 2015 (http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/12/08/southfront-syria-iraq-battlespace-dec-8-2015/)
SouthFront: Syria battlespace, Dec. 7, 2015 (http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/12/07/southfront-syria-battlespace-dec-7-2015/)
SouthFront: Syria Battlespace – Results of November, 2015 (http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/11/28/southfront-syria-battlespace-results-of-november-2015/)
SouthFront: Syria Battlespace – Nov. 27,

mick silver
10th February 2016, 08:57 AM
neuro do you think that Erdogan’s regime will go into Syria with the help of Saudi? if so what are you hearing in turkey ? I think if he does this leave Russia with a fight and I don't know if nato will join in yet with Erdogan

Neuro
10th February 2016, 09:30 AM
neuro do you think that Erdogan’s regime will go into Syria with the help of Saudi? if so what are you hearing in turkey ? I think if he does this leave Russia with a fight and I don't know if nato will join in yet with Erdogan
I don't have any special sources of information, but I do think Erdogan is capable of doing something like this with or without the support of NATO. Turkey is the second largest military within NATO in terms of number of Soldiers (I think they can quickly mobilize 500,000 soldiers), equipment wise they are a bit low, but you have the opposite situation in Saudi Arabia. I do think if Erdogan does this, the US/UK would perhaps accept it grudgingly, but not the other European members, thus Turkey would be ditched from NATO, and all Western support behind Saudi Arabia would quickly wane. But I may be wrong about this. However I have a problem seeing how European NATO allies could support a Turkish war of aggression in Syria, especially now when Putin seems to sort it out for us...

mick silver
10th February 2016, 09:31 AM
‘Blackwater Mercenaries’ Are Fighting For Saudi Arabia In YemenSource: Mint Press (http://www.mintpressnews.com/213579-2/213579/)

http://www.mintpressnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/1128267-491648.jpg Private military contractors have been an integral part of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to win it’s ground war in Yemen, something the inexperienced Saudi military has been unable to accomplish.
(Khalid Mohammed/AP)

SANAA, Yemen — A spokesman for the Yemeni army told Russian media that hundreds of mercenaries are fighting in his country on behalf of Saudi Arabia and its allies.
“They hire poor people from around the world to take part in the hostilities. Among them are Somalis and people from Sudanese tribes,” Brig. Gen. Sharaf Ghalib Luqman told the state-operated Russian news agency RIA Novosti, according to a Jan. 19 report from Sputnik (http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160119/1033358120/yemen-blackwater-contractors.html), the agency’s international arm.
“However, there are also Europeans, Americans, Colombians. These are contractors from a structure known as Blackwater. This division includes around 400 people.”
The private security firm formerly known as Blackwater Worldwide became notorious for providing thousands of mercenaries to the U.S. war in Iraq, some of whom were later implicated in war crimes. In September 2007, Blackwater mercenaries opened fire at an Iraqi checkpoint, killing 17, in what would become known as the Nisour Square massacre.Four former Blackwater employees were convicted (http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/23/us/blackwater-verdict.html?_r=0) of the killings in October 2014.
Despite Luqman’s assertions, the employers of the mercenaries fighting in Yemen remain somewhat unclear. Blackwater became Xe Services in 2009. Following a company restructuring and change in ownership, the company was renamed the Academi in 2011. At that time, founder Erik Prince officially left the company but retained the rights to the name Blackwater.
A Dec. 10 report from Iran’s PressTV, citing Yemeni news sources, claimed that “15 Blackwater foreign fighters (http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2015/12/10/441071/Yemen-Blacwater-UAE-Saudi-Arabia-Taizz-Hadi-Sudan)” were killed in clashes with Houthi forces, who currently control the Yemeni government. PressTV reported that “80 Saudi-led troops, including 42 Blackwater mercenaries (http://presstv.ir/Detail/2015/12/13/441621/Yemen),” were killed in a ballistic missile attack on Dec. 13. And a Jan. 31 report (http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/01/31/448073/Yemen-Ansarullah-Houthis-Blackwater-mercenaries-Lahij)claimed that a “Blackwater commander,” Nicholas Petros, “was killed along with a group of mercenaries fighting for the Saudi regime in its war on Yemen.”
Kane Hippisley-Gatherum (http://www.albawaba.com/loop/there-lot-more-behind-reported-%E2%80%9Cblackwater%E2%80%9D-deaths-yemen-781388), writing in December for Middle Eastern news site Al Bawaba, noted that the Academi’s website makes no mention of these recent deaths, although press releases have been issued when other mercenaries are killed (https://www.academi.com/news_room/press_releases/105). Hippisley-Gatherum suggests that the mercenaries were hired from another global security corporation by an ally of the Saudis in their war against the Houthis:
“A company called Reflex Responses (R2) reportedly had the contract with the UAE, and Prince does not own or run that company. He did, however, work to oversee the efforts to train and recruit troops. The New York Times reported last month that Prince has left his role in the UAE program several years ago.
… [I]t appears evident that ‘Blackwater’ troops did not recently die in Yemen.
The UAE recently deployed hundreds of its mercenaries, many of them Colombian, to fight in Yemen. The New York Times reported that it was the first combat deployment of the private army which Prince helped set up with R2.”
Ultimately, Hippisley-Gatherum concludes: “Press TV may have reported that they were with Blackwater, but given that the company in charge is actually R2, and that Prince allegedly doesn’t hold a role there anymore, that is clearly not the case.”

Regardless of who issues their paychecks, it does seem clear from multiple media reports that foreign mercenaries are fighting — and dying — in Yemen. Their deaths are part of a bloody conflict that’s also claimed the lives of at least 6,000 people, including over 2,800 Yemeni civilians (http://www.mintpressnews.com/in-yemen-civilians-suffer-relentless-bombing-by-saudi-coalition/212673/), since the Saudi-led war began began in March 2015.

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