View Full Version : Trump is toast
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 12:09 PM
His vp Pence has broken away from him..
He is toast unless he changes the shit he spouts.
Eat shit and die motherfuckers..
saw it coming .
;D
Remember I do not like the bitch..
Gotts popcorn?
Silver Rocket Bitches!
3rd August 2016, 12:14 PM
When did he break away? He literally said this two days ago..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NnNb-T_CJMs
Ares
3rd August 2016, 12:17 PM
His vp Pence has broken away from him..
He is toast unless he changes the shit he spouts.
Eat shit and die motherfuckers..
saw it coming .
;D
Remember I do not like the bitch..
Gotts popcorn?
http://2new2.fjcdn.com/pictures/Untitled_228bb9_5839855.jpg
:rolleyes:
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 12:22 PM
http://2new2.fjcdn.com/pictures/Untitled_228bb9_5839855.jpg
:rolleyes:
Want to make a wild ass bet I am right and who is wrong ?
Poor man speaking...
Will send a roll of tp if I am wrong !
(Ponce inspired !)
;D
cheka.
3rd August 2016, 12:42 PM
win or lose trump did a good deed - reopening and stoking discussions about globalism, tariffs, open borders, etc
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 12:44 PM
win or lose trump did a good deed - reopening and inflaming the discussion about globalism, tariffs, open borders, etc
Agree !
His biggest enemy is himself shooting himself in his foot or balls..
Sad
Shami-Amourae
3rd August 2016, 01:13 PM
Based Did'do's
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HuIkq-3KOEo
osoab
3rd August 2016, 02:09 PM
Agree !
His biggest enemy is himself shooting himself in his foot or balls..
Sad
I wouldn't call it sad. Almost seems calculated. Either he wants to throw it or he thinks keeping himself in the headlines will work it's magic.
There is no such thing as bad publicity.
The above phrase appears to me as one of Trump personal mottos.
Neuro
3rd August 2016, 02:20 PM
Agree !
His biggest enemy is himself shooting himself in his foot or balls..
Sad
He is actually not shooting himself in the foot. MSM spin makes it appear as he does, if you follow that shit. The end result is the same though, in the 90% mind that needs to be told what to think...
JohnQPublic
3rd August 2016, 02:28 PM
He is actually not shooting himself in the foot. MSM spin makes it appear as he does, if you follow that shit. The end result is the same though, in the 90% mind that needs to be told what to think...
I think you are right. We will see if he can pull it off still. Anyone other than him (of the cast offered) would have 0 chance. Remember he ran a reality TV show. I am awaiting fireworks in the near future. Trump understands timing and patience (well at least timing).
Joshua01
3rd August 2016, 02:52 PM
He is actually not shooting himself in the foot. MSM spin makes it appear as he does, if you follow that shit. The end result is the same though, in the 90% mind that needs to be told what to think...
Yep, I've watched a number of Trump's speeches in their entirety and his charisma, style, mannerisms....whatever you want to call it, are easy to criticize. He speaks off the cuff, as though he were actually speaking to you, not preaching like a typical politician. Some people will take that and turn it into a negative. Hey, he never said he was 'presidential', he just says he wants to make America great again
Joshua01
3rd August 2016, 02:55 PM
https://media.giphy.com/media/26BRxjQXtmOyU8rcI/giphy.gif
Cebu_4_2
3rd August 2016, 05:47 PM
So whats going on with this? Just walked in and heard he dumped Pense... Looks funky but I just got in as I said.
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 06:31 PM
I think you are right. We will see if he can pull it off still. Anyone other than him (of the cast offered) would have 0 chance. Remember he ran a reality TV show. I am awaiting fireworks in the near future. Trump understands timing and patience (well at least timing).
End result will be the same, if he could keep his mouth shut and thicken his skin
No problem, the problem is he cannot and that will bring he down!
Sad but very real, cannot lay the blame on others but himself!
Prove me wrong.
Problem is he
Sent from my Nexus 7 using Forum runner
slvrbugjim
3rd August 2016, 07:53 PM
The shit I see on MSM provokes me beyond belief. Trump is buddies with Putin. AAAAnd Putin invaded Crimea, well Russia has had a military port there since Peter the Great,,, yea 200 years so they did not invade.......... they were already there and were always there and 90% of Crimians Are Russian.
Cebu_4_2
3rd August 2016, 07:59 PM
End result will be the same, if he could keep his mouth shut and thicken his skin
No problem, the problem is he cannot and that will bring he down!
Sad but very real, cannot lay the blame on others but himself!
Prove me wrong.
Problem is he
Sent from my Nexus 7 using Forum runner
Trick is he don't need to keep his mouth shut. He knows how the deals are made, you are in old school living off drippings not reality. On and on you recite how old school you are, just give it an end old man.
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 08:13 PM
Bring it on, 73 vs whatever you claim, I am a go to this sicktard.
I'll bring a sandcastle bucket for my kid to pacify the boredom.
PS no sirearms allowed, that would be cheatin not out of the country fight.your vast intellectual input is appreciated.
Thanks
vacuum
3rd August 2016, 08:52 PM
The Primary Model
(2016)
87%-99% Certain Trump Will Be President
Primaries Predict Election Winner -- Cycle Also Favors GOP —Forecast Model Batting 5 for 5 (since 1996)
Helmut Norpoth
It is 87% to 99% certain that Donald Trump will win the presidential election on November 8, 2016; 87% if running against Hillary Clinton, 99% if against Bernie Sanders.
These predictions come from primarymodel.com (http://www.primarymodel.com)
It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election.
Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. Trump won the Republican primaries in both New Hampshire and the South Carolina while Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the Democratic primaries in those states.
What favors the GOP in 2016 as well, no matter if Trump is the nominee or any other Republican, is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year.
https://i.sli.mg/wIreKR.png
In a match-up between the Republican primary winner and each of the Democratic contenders, Donald Trump is predicted to defeat Hillary Clinton by 52.5% to 47.5% of the two-party vote. He would defeat Bernie Sanders by 57.7% to 42.3%.
For the record, the PRIMARY MODEL, with slight modifications, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996. In recent elections the forecast has been issued as early as January of the election year.
Presidential elections going back as far as 1912 are used to estimate the weight of primary performance. It was in 1912 that presidential primaries were introduced. That year the candidate who won his party’s primary vote, Woodrow Wilson, went on to defeat the candidate who lost his party’s primary vote, William Howard Taft. As a rule, the candidate with the stronger primary performance wins against the candidate with the weaker primary performance. For elections from 1912 to 2012 the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.
https://i.sli.mg/01avyt.png
For elections prior to 1952 all primaries were included. Beginning in 1952, only the New Hampshire Primary has been used, as a rule. South Carolina has been added to gauge primary performance this year. Hillary Clinton enjoys strong support in a large group of voters, African-Americans, who are few in numbers in New Hampshire. Her combined performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina gives her a higher primary score than Sanders. As a result, in the general election Clinton fares less badly against Trump than does Sanders.
An earlier forecast, which garnered much notoriety, predicted a Trump victory over Clinton with 97% certainty. That prediction was made before the Democratic primary in South Carolina was held and relied on polling reports for that state. Clinton wound up beating Sanders by a much bigger margin than was indicated by pre-primary polls. Still, it is 87% certain that Trump will defeat Clinton in November.
It is possible, of course, that the Republican Party will not nominate Trump as its presidential candidate. If the nomination were to go to Marco Rubio instead the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:
It is 86% certain that Hillary Clinton will defeat Marco Rubio. Clinton will get 52.4% and Rubio 47.6% of the two party vote.
According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Clinton.
In the event that the Democrats nominate Bernie Sanders instead of Hillary Clinton, while the GOP nominates Marco Rubio, the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:
It is 89% certain that Marco Rubio will defeat Bernie Sanders. Rubio will get 52.8% and Sanders 47.2% of the two party vote.
According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Sanders.
slvrbugjim
3rd August 2016, 08:57 PM
The Primary Model
(2016)
87%-99% Certain Trump Will Be President
Primaries Predict Election Winner -- Cycle Also Favors GOP —Forecast Model Batting 5 for 5 (since 1996)
Helmut Norpoth
It is 87% to 99% certain that Donald Trump will win the presidential election on November 8, 2016; 87% if running against Hillary Clinton, 99% if against Bernie Sanders.
These predictions come from primarymodel.com (http://www.primarymodel.com)
It is a statistical model that relies on presidential primaries and an election cycle as predictors of the vote in the general election.
Winning the early primaries is a major key for electoral victory in November. Trump won the Republican primaries in both New Hampshire and the South Carolina while Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders split the Democratic primaries in those states.
What favors the GOP in 2016 as well, no matter if Trump is the nominee or any other Republican, is the cycle of presidential elections. After two terms of Democrat Barack Obama in the White House the electoral pendulum is poised to swing to the GOP this year.
https://i.sli.mg/wIreKR.png
In a match-up between the Republican primary winner and each of the Democratic contenders, Donald Trump is predicted to defeat Hillary Clinton by 52.5% to 47.5% of the two-party vote. He would defeat Bernie Sanders by 57.7% to 42.3%.
For the record, the PRIMARY MODEL, with slight modifications, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996. In recent elections the forecast has been issued as early as January of the election year.
Presidential elections going back as far as 1912 are used to estimate the weight of primary performance. It was in 1912 that presidential primaries were introduced. That year the candidate who won his party’s primary vote, Woodrow Wilson, went on to defeat the candidate who lost his party’s primary vote, William Howard Taft. As a rule, the candidate with the stronger primary performance wins against the candidate with the weaker primary performance. For elections from 1912 to 2012 the PRIMARY MODEL picks the winner, albeit retroactively, every time except in 1960.
https://i.sli.mg/01avyt.png
For elections prior to 1952 all primaries were included. Beginning in 1952, only the New Hampshire Primary has been used, as a rule. South Carolina has been added to gauge primary performance this year. Hillary Clinton enjoys strong support in a large group of voters, African-Americans, who are few in numbers in New Hampshire. Her combined performance in New Hampshire and South Carolina gives her a higher primary score than Sanders. As a result, in the general election Clinton fares less badly against Trump than does Sanders.
An earlier forecast, which garnered much notoriety, predicted a Trump victory over Clinton with 97% certainty. That prediction was made before the Democratic primary in South Carolina was held and relied on polling reports for that state. Clinton wound up beating Sanders by a much bigger margin than was indicated by pre-primary polls. Still, it is 87% certain that Trump will defeat Clinton in November.
It is possible, of course, that the Republican Party will not nominate Trump as its presidential candidate. If the nomination were to go to Marco Rubio instead the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:
It is 86% certain that Hillary Clinton will defeat Marco Rubio. Clinton will get 52.4% and Rubio 47.6% of the two party vote.
According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Clinton.
In the event that the Democrats nominate Bernie Sanders instead of Hillary Clinton, while the GOP nominates Marco Rubio, the PRIMARY MODEL would predict:
It is 89% certain that Marco Rubio will defeat Bernie Sanders. Rubio will get 52.8% and Sanders 47.2% of the two party vote.
According to the model, Ted Cruz or any other candidate (except Trump) would fare the same way against Sanders.
.what are the stats after we have used black box voting machines that can and are hacked
Joshua01
3rd August 2016, 08:59 PM
.what are the stats after we have used black box voting machines that can and are hacked
Bingo!
http://i.imgur.com/edBQBeJ.gif
slvrbugjim
3rd August 2016, 09:03 PM
[QUOTE=slvrbugjim;846988].what are the stats after we have used black box voting machines that can and are hacked[/QUOTh
Answer Bernie lost 11 states to this shit, Trump will end up the same stuff,
Hitlary is a Witch google it she is not only a bitch but she is a witch for real
Dogman
3rd August 2016, 09:16 PM
That would be 'thanks' but I give you leaveway since your 7 years older an I got 4 broken ribs.
Dont think anyone would put up betting on it? No one knows me but they know you. I got 1000 to bet against just for fun. no krinkled faces.
What the hell ribs have to do anything in this thread ?
Suck it up and move on..
And as far as any bets are made , first off personal respect is required first and foremost is required, and sadly I have none for you.
Sadly unless major changes ore made in both political houses , congress and senate if elected trump may hold the office but only as a paper tiger.
Again I still do not care for the bitch,
Whoever wins as things stand = deadlock.
;D
Celtic Rogue
4th August 2016, 04:53 AM
I believe all we are seeing now is a last ditch efforts by the dems to knock Trump off the lead. Massive media and social media sites all spouting the same anti trump rhetoric! I do agree that Trump is his own worst nightmare! However that same thing is what many people like about him and it will not sway their opinion that Trump is what this country needs! People are tired of PC and can feel the freedom without it!
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