Dachsie comment:
I think each entity doing statistical modeling has their own definition of "case."
Generally it means a subject has tested positive with any of the COVID tests now in use. A case can mean infectious/contagious simply by definition, with no symptoms present.
We know about the political manipulation of PCR test results and I recall that Dr. Eads on her most recent visit on the USAwatchdog show said that the antigen test is meaningless also.
Also we have no information on the construction of the model as to whether the number of cases that were COVID vaccinated was factored in the model.
The hospital protocols are designed to not help patients with upper respiratory symptoms.
The computer models and forecasts are just as politically manipulated as are the COVID 19 tests.
They are trying to ramp up the fear and revive the COVID pandemic scare.
The only truthful thing we know is that any forecasts and data coming out of governmental agencies regarding cases, hospitalizations and deaths are not to be trusted at all.
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https://www.beckershospitalreview.co...812G5550689I0J
COVID-19 deaths to rise through June, CDC forecasts
Mackenzie Bean - 2 hours ago June 13, 2022
COVID-19 deaths will likely increase nationwide through the end of the month, CDC modeling suggests.
The nation's current seven-day daily death average was 306 as of June 10, up 18.6 percent from the previous week's average, according to the CDC.
The agency's ensemble COVID-19 forecast from 20 modeling groups suggests this trend will continue, with 1,600 to 4,200 new deaths likely reported in the week ending July 2, which translates to a daily total of 228.5 to 600 deaths. This tally would bring the nation's total COVID-19 death tally to a range of 1,014,000 to 1,028,000.
Two more COVID-19 forecasts to know:
Cases: Daily COVID-19 cases are projected to increase 37.6 percent in the next two weeks, a slower rate of increase than projected in late May, according to modeling from Mayo Clinic. Forecasts suggest daily average cases will jump from 88,740.6 cases on June 11 to 122,105 by June 25. During the omicron surge, this figure hit a peak of more than 800,000, according to data tracked by The New York Times.
The nation's case rate is also expected to increase from 33.3 cases per 100,000 population to 37.2 per 100,000 over the same period.
Hospitalizations: Nationwide, daily COVID-19 hospital admissions are projected to remain stable or have an uncertain trend over the next four weeks, with 1,700 to 11,100 new admissions likely reported July 1, according to the CDC's ensemble forecast from 17 modeling groups.
Hospitalizations are increasing, but the nation's current seven-day average (29,463) is still far lower than the more than 150,000 seven-day average seen at the height of the omicron surge, according to data tracked by the Times.
The CDC said its ensemble forecasts are among the most reliable for COVID-19 modeling, but they cannot predict rapid changes in hospitalizations or deaths. Therefore, they should not be relied on "for making decisions about the possibility or timing of rapid changes in trends," the agency said.
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Note: Mayo Clinic uses a Bayesian statistical model to forecast cases that automatically updates as new data becomes available. There is an uncertainty interval for forecast values, with lower and upper bounds that are not included in this list. To learn more about the data Mayo Clinic uses to forecast hot spots, click here. Becker's pulled the forecast values June 13 at 9:30 a.m. CDT.

