Megadrought returning to the west

[EE_]

This could be a game changer in our country. Millions of illegals pouring in, no crops to harvest. Millions of illegals sucking up resources.
Is this stock market positive?

Farmers Warn That The Megadrought In The Western US Threatens To Cause Devastating Crop Failures In 2021
BY TYLER DURDEN
TUESDAY, APR 20, 2021 - 06:45 PM
Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

Throughout U.S. history, there have always been droughts in the western half of the country from time to time, but what we are dealing with now is truly alarming. Scientists tell us that a multi-year “megadrought” has developed in the southwestern portion of the country, and this is the worst year of that “megadrought” so far by a wide margin. If conditions do not radically improve soon, we are going to have a major agricultural disaster on our hands. Some farmers have already decided not to plant crops at all this year, but many others have decided to plant anyway knowing that if enough rain doesn’t come their crops will certainly fail.

Drought Map April 15-2021 https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/i...?itok=j_dCtJd2

As I have discussed previously, the epicenter of this “megadrought” is the Four Corners region in the Southwest, but this drought is so immense it is even causing immense nightmares for farmers as far away as North Dakota.

In fact, the first few months of this year were the driest that North Dakota has seen in 126 years…

The period of January to March 2021 was the driest in 126 years for North Dakota. Farmers are starting to make difficult decisions on planting and culling herds as the governor of the state declared a statewide drought disaster on April 8. Soil moistures across the state, particularly in western portions of North Dakota, are lacking sufficient moisture to sustain normal crop development growth. The first eight days of April 2021 offered little help as hot, summer-like temperatures, gusty winds, and low humidity across the state accelerated drying conditions.

According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, well over half the state is now experiencing “severe drought”.

Perhaps you don’t care about what is happening in North Dakota, but you should, because much of the wheat that we use for pasta and flour comes from that region…

Things are dry and dusty in the Upper Midwest, the Northern Plains states and the Prairie provinces of Canada.

This region, spanning states such as North Dakota and provinces such as Manitoba, is the most important one for spring wheat, the higher-gluten variety that’s used for pasta or mixed with other wheat for all-purpose flour. And that crop is at significant risk, because conditions in the region are pretty dire this year.

In a previous article I discussed the dramatic rise in food prices that we have been witnessing lately, and now drought fears are pushing futures prices for spring wheat quite a bit higher…

The US Drought Monitor shows around 70 percent of North Dakota in “extreme drought” conditions, with most of the rest in the slightly less scary “severe drought” rating. As a result, the futures prices of both spring wheat and canola are at their highest in years, with traders expecting a lower harvest this year.

Despite all of our advanced technology, farmers can’t grow crops if it doesn’t rain, and a farmer in Texas named Blake Fennell says that his farm has not had any significant rain in almost two years…

The West Texas farmer says his area hasn’t seen significant rain fall in nearly two years.

“We’ve still got to give that crop every chance we think we can get, but at the same time, we also can’t waste a lot of money on a crop that we don’t think we’re going to have going into it,” he says.

What a nightmare.

Right now, nearly the entire state of Texas is in some level of drought, and we haven’t even gotten to the summer months yet.

To call this a “plague” would be a major understatement. On the border of Oregon and California, farmers just learned that water levels are so low that they will only get “a tiny fraction of the water they need” in 2021…

Hundreds of farmers who rely on a massive irrigation project that spans the Oregon-California border learned Wednesday they will get a tiny fraction of the water they need amid the worst drought in decades, as federal regulators attempt to balance the needs of agriculture against federally threatened and endangered fish species that are central to the heritage of several tribes.

Oregon’s governor said the prolonged drought in the region has the “full attention of our offices,” and she is working with congressional delegates, the White House and federal agencies to find relief for those affected.

Do you think that you could run a successful farm under such conditions?

Elsewhere in California, water allocation reductions of up to 95 percent are forcing many farmers to make some exceedingly heartbreaking decisions…

Drought conditions are already forcing Valley farmers to make difficult decisions when it comes to their crops as many are facing severe water restrictions.

“There’s districts throughout California that have experienced up to 95% reductions in water,” says Fresno County Farm Bureau CEO Ryan Jacobsen.

U.S. food production will be down in 2021, but if sufficient rain starts falling in the western U.S. we could still see a miracle.

But if enough rain does not fall, we are going to see epic crop failures.

Meanwhile, it is being projected that the drought will cause the water level in Lake Mead to soon fall to the lowest level ever recorded…

Wracked by drought, climate change and overuse, a key reservoir on the Colorado River could sink to historically low levels later this year, new US government projections show, potentially triggering significant water cutbacks in some states as early as next year.

The projections released by the US Bureau of Reclamation show that Lake Mead — the largest reservoir in the country and a vital water supply to millions across the Southwest — could fall later this year to its lowest levels since it was filled in the 1930s.

If you live anywhere in the western half of the country, you should brace yourself for severe water restrictions.

And all of us need to brace ourselves for much higher prices at the grocery store.

For decades, the western half of the country was blessed with unusually high levels of rainfall, but that wasn’t going to last forever.

Now Dust Bowl conditions have returned, and farmers, ranchers and local authorities are starting to panic.

As this megadrought continues to intensify, life is going to dramatically change in the western half of the nation, and that is going to deeply affect all of us.

https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-f...-failures-2021

[woodman]

Just think! We can eat the illegals. Win/win!

[monty]

Where I am on that map is the worst part of this drought.

Nevada looking to trade water rights, this can’t be a good thing.

Nalivka: A Market To Trade Water Rights? I’m Skeptical!


https://cdn.farmjournal.com/s3fs-pub...?itok=kqg8qtlj

We’ve all been working cows in a corral when the question is asked, “Is that gate shut?” We all know there’s a whole range of possibilities on what happens next after that question is asked from nothing to someone running to close it before half the herd runs through. No, I am not writing a column on working cows and shutting gates, but there is something concerning water rights in Nevada that could ultimately be worse than those cows getting away!

Nevada is looking into “water banking,” which, in short, is the creation of a market to sell and/or buy water rights. The Nevada legislature is looking at whether this “water banking” would be a better way to manage water rights than current water law. We are all familiar with water law dating back to the early 1900s – water rights are attached to the land, period.

I have written extensively about adapting to changes in production agriculture, the meat industry, and the food industry. However, I will say, without exception, that this idea to create a market to trade water rights is absolutely one of, if not the, worst proposals that could have ever been put on paper. And, I am sure it didn’t just come about recently.

Irrigated farming makes a significant contribution to U.S. food production and one could fill a page with statistics illustrating that fact. But, briefly, in 2018 (most recent USDA data), there were 231,474 farms representing 222,028,954 acres in farming in the U.S. Of those total acres, 55,938,795 acres were irrigated. In addition, for 66% of those irrigated farms, their sales from irrigated crops and livestock accounted for 50% or more of their total sales.

I am by no means an expert on water rights, though I have provided analysis for water litigation. However, I would say, without reservation, that U.S. agriculture must maintain current water law with water rights attached to the land.

Water can quickly become a scarce resource as the result of supply disruptions resulting from drought or increasing demand as communities and cities grow. California has long been the example for growing demand for water, but nearly all Western states are experiencing the same situation. Southwestern Utah in the Colorado River basin is a prime example.

I become very skeptical when connecting the dots between hedge funds trading water rights in a market independent of the land and climate change. We all should be concerned. It has the very likely possibility of affecting U.S. food production on the irrigated land where those water rights were first established 100 years ago and just as important, the livelihood of farmers and ranchers.