
Originally Posted by
mamboni
Our politicians and health leaders have absolutely no understanding of tests and how they are to be used. Dr. Kaufman points out that the COVID-19 test was never validated (no true positive material exists). Such a test would be immediately disqualified and useless for investigation. He points out that investigators estimated a false positive rate of 80 percent by testing a cohort of test subjects and following them for several weeks to tally those who get ill. Statistically, a significant portion of the 20% who fall ill did so for unrelated reasons, So 20% is a high estimate. Now let's grant that the test has perfect sensitivity of 100% (very improbable). In general, all tests see deterioration of performance as the incidence of diseased in the population decreases. Let's assume that COVID-19 exists and has a prevalence in the population tested of 5%(generous). Let's test 10,000 people. Here are the predicted results:
True Positives - 500
False Positives - 7600
False Negatives - 0
True Negatives - 1900
In short, of 10,000 tested, fully 8100 will test positive though only 6% of these positives have the infection! Getting the test is guaranteed to generate lots of positive results irregardless of any infection being present. This COVID-19 pandemic is being manufactured by these idiots. They want increasing numbers of positives? Just test more and more people each day. If you get the test you are a fool - the results can and likely will be used against you!